Borussia Neunkirchen vs Düren Merzenich: prediction and stats
Oberliga - MittelrheinMittelrhein - 12Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Ellenfeldstadion, Neunkirchen
The Footlab model makes Borussia Neunkirchen the favourite at 47%, against 21% for a draw and 32% for Düren Merzenich. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Borussia Neunkirchen vs Düren Merzenich?
A very open match: only 4 Elo points separate Borussia Neunkirchen (1,733) and Düren Merzenich (1,729).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 2 matches in all competitions, Borussia Neunkirchen have 0 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats; Düren Merzenich have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2025 | Borussia Mönchengladbach(home) | 0-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 28, 2020 | Hertha Wiesbach(away) | 3-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 2026 | Fortuna Köln II(home) | 2-5 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 31, 2026 | Eintracht Hohkeppel(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 22, 2026 | TuS BW Königsdorf(home) | 2-0 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 17, 2026 | Bornheim(away) | 2-4 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 10, 2026 | Siegburger SV(home) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
How many goals should we expect?
Borussia Neunkirchen score 1.5 and concede 5.0 goals per match over their last 2; Düren Merzenich score 1.5 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 76% probability of over 2.5 goals and 74% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Borussia Neunkirchen | 1.5 | 5.0 | 0 | 1/2 | 2/2 |
| Düren Merzenich | 1.5 | 2.2 | 3 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 2 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Düren Merzenich | 30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | 49 | 59 | 38 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Borussia Neunkirchen vs Düren Merzenich?
- The Footlab model makes Borussia Neunkirchen the favourite at 47%, against 21% for a draw and 32% for Düren Merzenich.
- Where and when is Borussia Neunkirchen vs Düren Merzenich played?
- Borussia Neunkirchen vs Düren Merzenich is played on November 29, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Ellenfeldstadion, in the Oberliga - Mittelrhein.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 76% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.