SSV Ulm 1846 vs VfR Aalen: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - SudWestSudwest - 23Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Donaustadion, Ulm
The Footlab model makes VfR Aalen the favourite at 56%, against 22% for a draw and 22% for SSV Ulm 1846. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win SSV Ulm 1846 vs VfR Aalen?
VfR Aalen starts as the favourite with a 194-point Elo edge (1,969 vs 1,775).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SSV Ulm 1846 have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; VfR Aalen have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.(home) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Kickers Offenbach(home) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Stuttgarter Kickers(away) | 2-4 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 1, 2026 | SSV Jahn Regensburg(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Stuttgart II(home) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Eintracht Frankfurt II(home) | 0-3 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 15, 2026 | TSV Steinbach(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Freiburg II(home) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Jul 26, 2026 | FC Saarbrücken(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 21, 2026 | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 SSV Ulm 1846 win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 VfR Aalen win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 19, 2023 | VfR Aalen 0-8 SSV Ulm 1846 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 4, 2023 | SSV Ulm 1846 0-0 VfR Aalen | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Sep 24, 2022 | VfR Aalen 1-1 SSV Ulm 1846 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Apr 16, 2022 | SSV Ulm 1846 4-1 VfR Aalen | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Oct 26, 2021 | VfR Aalen 1-2 SSV Ulm 1846 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Mar 6, 2021 | VfR Aalen 0-1 SSV Ulm 1846 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
Last archived meeting: VfR Aalen vs SSV Ulm 1846 on Jul 19, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
SSV Ulm 1846 score 1.3 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; VfR Aalen score 2.2 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SSV Ulm 1846 | 1.3 | 2.1 | 1 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| VfR Aalen | 2.2 | 1.0 | 6 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
SSV Ulm 1846 sit 17th in Regionalliga - SudWest (1 points from 3 matches) and VfR Aalen sit 15th (2 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | VfR Aalen | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 2 |
| 17 | SSV Ulm 1846 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for SSV Ulm 1846 vs VfR Aalen?
- The Footlab model makes VfR Aalen the favourite at 56%, against 22% for a draw and 22% for SSV Ulm 1846.
- Where and when is SSV Ulm 1846 vs VfR Aalen played?
- SSV Ulm 1846 vs VfR Aalen is played on March 13, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Donaustadion, in the Regionalliga - SudWest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 13, 2027TSV SteinbachvsKickers Offenbach
- Mar 13, 2027Freiburg IIvsEintracht Trier
- Mar 13, 2027Hessen KasselvsFSV Frankfurt
- Mar 13, 2027Kaiserslautern IIvsFC 08 Homburg
- Mar 13, 2027SGV FreibergvsSV Sandhausen
- Mar 13, 2027Stuttgarter KickersvsFC Astoria Walldorf
- Mar 13, 2027VfR MannheimvsFSV Mainz 05 II
- Mar 13, 2027Eintracht Frankfurt IIvsBarockstadt Fulda-Lehn.