Match

VfR Mannheim vs FSV Mainz 05 II: prediction and stats

Regionalliga - SudWestSudwest - 23Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Rhein-Neckar-Stadion, Mannheim

VfR MannheimFSV Mainz 05 II

The Footlab model makes VfR Mannheim the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 34% for FSV Mainz 05 II. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win VfR Mannheim vs FSV Mainz 05 II?

A very open match: only 8 Elo points separate VfR Mannheim (1,923) and FSV Mainz 05 II (1,915).

VfR Mannheim win42 %
Draw24 %
FSV Mainz 05 II win34 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, VfR Mannheim have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; FSV Mainz 05 II have 6, 4 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

VfR Mannheim
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026SGV Freiberg(home)0-0Regionalliga - SudWest
Aug 16, 2026Eintracht Trier(home)1-2Regionalliga - SudWest
Aug 8, 2026FSV Frankfurt(away)2-2Regionalliga - SudWest
Jun 10, 2026Pirmasens(away)1-0Oberliga - Promotion Round
Jun 4, 2026Eddersheim(home)4-1Oberliga - Promotion Round
FSV Mainz 05 II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Kickers Offenbach(away)1-3Regionalliga - SudWest
Aug 16, 2026FSV Frankfurt(home)2-1Regionalliga - SudWest
Aug 8, 2026FC 08 Homburg(away)1-2Regionalliga - SudWest
Jul 22, 2026Kreuzlingen(home)2-1Friendlies Clubs
Jul 11, 2026FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt(away)3-0Friendlies Clubs

How many goals should we expect?

VfR Mannheim score 2.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; FSV Mainz 05 II score 1.4 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
VfR Mannheim2.01.3510/1510/15
FSV Mainz 05 II1.41.449/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

VfR Mannheim sit 14th in Regionalliga - SudWest (2 points from 3 matches) and FSV Mainz 05 II sit 13th (3 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
13FSV Mainz 05 II3102463
14VfR Mannheim3021342

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for VfR Mannheim vs FSV Mainz 05 II?
The Footlab model makes VfR Mannheim the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 34% for FSV Mainz 05 II.
Where and when is VfR Mannheim vs FSV Mainz 05 II played?
VfR Mannheim vs FSV Mainz 05 II is played on March 13, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Rhein-Neckar-Stadion, in the Regionalliga - SudWest.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: VfR Mannheim and FSV Mainz 05 II

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