VfR Mannheim vs FSV Mainz 05 II: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - SudWestSudwest - 23Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Rhein-Neckar-Stadion, Mannheim
The Footlab AI model makes VfR Mannheim the favourite at 57%, against 22% for a draw and 21% for FSV Mainz 05 II. The most likely score is 1-1. If VfR Mannheim wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,545 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win VfR Mannheim vs FSV Mainz 05 II?
VfR Mannheim starts as the favourite with a 153-point Elo edge (2,027 vs 1,874).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for VfR Mannheim vs FSV Mainz 05 II
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
VfR Mannheim
Not enough data to predict the VfR Mannheim lineup.
FSV Mainz 05 II
Not enough data to predict the FSV Mainz 05 II lineup.
Computed on November 5, 2026 at 06:21 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, VfR Mannheim have 9 wins, 5 draws and 1 defeat; FSV Mainz 05 II have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Kaiserslautern II(home) | 3-2 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Oct 24, 2026 | TSV Steinbach(away) | 2-0 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Hessen Kassel(away) | 3-0 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Eintracht Frankfurt II(away) | 1-0 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Stuttgarter Kickers(home) | 2-0 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2026 | SV Sandhausen(home) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.(away) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Oct 17, 2026 | SSV Ulm 1846(home) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Oct 10, 2026 | FC Astoria Walldorf(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Freiburg II(home) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 VfR Mannheim win, 0 draws, 0 FSV Mainz 05 II wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 9, 2026 | FSV Mainz 05 II 1-2 VfR Mannheim | Regionalliga - SudWest |
Last archived meeting: FSV Mainz 05 II vs VfR Mannheim on Sep 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
VfR Mannheim score 1.7 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; FSV Mainz 05 II score 1.1 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VfR Mannheim | 1.7 | 0.7 | 8 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| FSV Mainz 05 II | 1.1 | 1.9 | 0 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
VfR Mannheim sit 2nd in Regionalliga - SudWest (29 points from 14 matches) and FSV Mainz 05 II sit 15th (14 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | VfR Mannheim | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 29 |
| 15 | FSV Mainz 05 II | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 15 | 27 | 14 |
A question about VfR Mannheim vs FSV Mainz 05 II?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for VfR Mannheim vs FSV Mainz 05 II?
- The Footlab AI model makes VfR Mannheim the favourite at 57%, against 22% for a draw and 21% for FSV Mainz 05 II.
- Where and when is VfR Mannheim vs FSV Mainz 05 II played?
- VfR Mannheim vs FSV Mainz 05 II is played on March 13, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Rhein-Neckar-Stadion, in the Regionalliga - SudWest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 13, 2027SSV Ulm 1846vsVfR Aalen
- Mar 13, 2027TSV SteinbachvsKickers Offenbach
- Mar 13, 2027Freiburg IIvsEintracht Trier
- Mar 13, 2027Hessen KasselvsFSV Frankfurt
- Mar 13, 2027Kaiserslautern IIvsFC 08 Homburg
- Mar 13, 2027SGV FreibergvsSV Sandhausen
- Mar 13, 2027Stuttgarter KickersvsFC Astoria Walldorf
- Mar 13, 2027Eintracht Frankfurt IIvsBarockstadt Fulda-Lehn.