VfR Mannheim vs FSV Mainz 05 II: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - SudWestSudwest - 23Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Rhein-Neckar-Stadion, Mannheim
The Footlab model makes VfR Mannheim the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 34% for FSV Mainz 05 II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win VfR Mannheim vs FSV Mainz 05 II?
A very open match: only 8 Elo points separate VfR Mannheim (1,923) and FSV Mainz 05 II (1,915).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, VfR Mannheim have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; FSV Mainz 05 II have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | SGV Freiberg(home) | 0-0 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Eintracht Trier(home) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FSV Frankfurt(away) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Jun 10, 2026 | Pirmasens(away) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Promotion Round |
| Jun 4, 2026 | Eddersheim(home) | 4-1 | Oberliga - Promotion Round |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kickers Offenbach(away) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 16, 2026 | FSV Frankfurt(home) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FC 08 Homburg(away) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Kreuzlingen(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 11, 2026 | FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt(away) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
VfR Mannheim score 2.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; FSV Mainz 05 II score 1.4 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VfR Mannheim | 2.0 | 1.3 | 5 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| FSV Mainz 05 II | 1.4 | 1.4 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
VfR Mannheim sit 14th in Regionalliga - SudWest (2 points from 3 matches) and FSV Mainz 05 II sit 13th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | FSV Mainz 05 II | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 3 |
| 14 | VfR Mannheim | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for VfR Mannheim vs FSV Mainz 05 II?
- The Footlab model makes VfR Mannheim the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 34% for FSV Mainz 05 II.
- Where and when is VfR Mannheim vs FSV Mainz 05 II played?
- VfR Mannheim vs FSV Mainz 05 II is played on March 13, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Rhein-Neckar-Stadion, in the Regionalliga - SudWest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 13, 2027SSV Ulm 1846vsVfR Aalen
- Mar 13, 2027TSV SteinbachvsKickers Offenbach
- Mar 13, 2027Freiburg IIvsEintracht Trier
- Mar 13, 2027Hessen KasselvsFSV Frankfurt
- Mar 13, 2027Kaiserslautern IIvsFC 08 Homburg
- Mar 13, 2027SGV FreibergvsSV Sandhausen
- Mar 13, 2027Stuttgarter KickersvsFC Astoria Walldorf
- Mar 13, 2027Eintracht Frankfurt IIvsBarockstadt Fulda-Lehn.