St. Pauli II vs Hannover 96 II: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - NordNorth - 20Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Edmund-Plambeck-Stadion, Norderstedt
The Footlab model makes Hannover 96 II the favourite at 61%, against 20% for a draw and 19% for St. Pauli II. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win St. Pauli II vs Hannover 96 II?
Hannover 96 II starts as the favourite with a 194-point Elo edge (1,955 vs 1,761).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, St. Pauli II have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Hannover 96 II have 8, 0 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Werder Bremen II(home) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 12, 2026 | SSV Jeddeloh(away) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Bremer SV(home) | 0-1 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Todesfelde(away) | 4-6 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Eintracht Norderstedt(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Atlas Delmenhorst(home) | 0-1 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 12, 2026 | SV Drochtersen/Assel(away) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 7, 2026 | HSC Hannover(home) | 2-0 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bremer SV(away) | 3-0 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Havelse(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 St. Pauli II win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Hannover 96 II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | St. Pauli II 0-1 Hannover 96 II | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Hannover 96 II 1-3 St. Pauli II | Regionalliga - Nord |
| May 19, 2024 | St. Pauli II 0-2 Hannover 96 II | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Nov 18, 2023 | Hannover 96 II 2-1 St. Pauli II | Regionalliga - Nord |
| May 13, 2023 | Hannover 96 II 1-0 St. Pauli II | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Nov 4, 2022 | St. Pauli II 1-5 Hannover 96 II | Regionalliga - Nord |
Last archived meeting: St. Pauli II vs Hannover 96 II on Apr 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
St. Pauli II score 1.2 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Hannover 96 II score 2.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Pauli II | 1.2 | 1.9 | 1 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
| Hannover 96 II | 2.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
St. Pauli II sit 14th in Regionalliga - Nord (3 points from 4 matches) and Hannover 96 II sit 4th (9 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Hannover 96 II | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| 14 | St. Pauli II | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for St. Pauli II vs Hannover 96 II?
- The Footlab model makes Hannover 96 II the favourite at 61%, against 20% for a draw and 19% for St. Pauli II.
- Where and when is St. Pauli II vs Hannover 96 II played?
- St. Pauli II vs Hannover 96 II is played on November 28, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Edmund-Plambeck-Stadion, in the Regionalliga - Nord.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 28, 2026SV Drochtersen/AsselvsHamburger SV II
- Nov 28, 2026Bremer SVvsVfB Lübeck
- Nov 28, 2026Weiche FlensburgvsHSC Hannover
- Nov 28, 2026Atlas DelmenhorstvsSSV Jeddeloh
- Nov 28, 2026VfB OldenburgvsTodesfelde
- Nov 28, 2026Phönix LübeckvsKickers Emden
- Nov 28, 2026Eimsbütteler TVvsEintracht Norderstedt
- Nov 28, 2026SchöningenvsWerder Bremen II