Phönix Lübeck vs Kickers Emden: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - NordNorth - 20Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Sportplatz an der Travemünder Allee, Lübeck
The Footlab model makes Phönix Lübeck the favourite at 56%, against 21% for a draw and 23% for Kickers Emden. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Phönix Lübeck vs Kickers Emden?
A very open match: only 41 Elo points separate Phönix Lübeck (1,954) and Kickers Emden (1,913).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Phönix Lübeck have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Kickers Emden have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | SC Paderborn 07(home) | 2-4 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | VfB Lübeck(home) | 4-0 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Bremer SV(away) | 0-0 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 9, 2026 | SSV Jeddeloh(home) | 2-0 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Jul 31, 2026 | SV Drochtersen/Assel(away) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Eimsbütteler TV(home) | 2-3 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Eintracht Norderstedt(away) | 2-6 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Hamburger SV II(home) | 3-2 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 1, 2026 | HSC Hannover(away) | 4-4 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Jul 18, 2026 | SV Rodinghausen(home) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Phönix Lübeck win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Kickers Emden win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2026 | Phönix Lübeck 2-0 Kickers Emden | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Kickers Emden 1-3 Phönix Lübeck | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Nov 9, 2024 | Kickers Emden 0-3 Phönix Lübeck | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Sep 3, 2024 | Phönix Lübeck 1-1 Kickers Emden | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Apr 2, 2023 | Phönix Lübeck 1-2 Kickers Emden | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Oct 1, 2022 | Kickers Emden 0-3 Phönix Lübeck | Regionalliga - Nord |
Last archived meeting: Phönix Lübeck vs Kickers Emden on Apr 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Phönix Lübeck score 1.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Kickers Emden score 2.3 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phönix Lübeck | 1.8 | 1.5 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Kickers Emden | 2.3 | 2.3 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Phönix Lübeck sit 5th in Regionalliga - Nord (7 points from 4 matches) and Kickers Emden sit 13th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Phönix Lübeck | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 7 |
| 13 | Kickers Emden | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 15 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Phönix Lübeck vs Kickers Emden?
- The Footlab model makes Phönix Lübeck the favourite at 56%, against 21% for a draw and 23% for Kickers Emden.
- Where and when is Phönix Lübeck vs Kickers Emden played?
- Phönix Lübeck vs Kickers Emden is played on November 28, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Sportplatz an der Travemünder Allee, in the Regionalliga - Nord.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 28, 2026SV Drochtersen/AsselvsHamburger SV II
- Nov 28, 2026Bremer SVvsVfB Lübeck
- Nov 28, 2026Weiche FlensburgvsHSC Hannover
- Nov 28, 2026Atlas DelmenhorstvsSSV Jeddeloh
- Nov 28, 2026St. Pauli IIvsHannover 96 II
- Nov 28, 2026VfB OldenburgvsTodesfelde
- Nov 28, 2026Eimsbütteler TVvsEintracht Norderstedt
- Nov 28, 2026SchöningenvsWerder Bremen II