Eintracht Norderstedt vs St. Pauli II: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - NordNorth - 21Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Edmund-Plambeck-Stadion, Norderstedt
The Footlab model makes Eintracht Norderstedt the favourite at 48%, against 22% for a draw and 31% for St. Pauli II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Eintracht Norderstedt vs St. Pauli II?
A very open match: only 24 Elo points separate Eintracht Norderstedt (1,785) and St. Pauli II (1,761).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Eintracht Norderstedt have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; St. Pauli II have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Weiche Flensburg(home) | 1-4 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 15, 2026 | VfB Oldenburg(away) | 1-4 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Kickers Emden(home) | 6-2 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Schöningen(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Atlas Delmenhorst(home) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Werder Bremen II(home) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 12, 2026 | SSV Jeddeloh(away) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Bremer SV(home) | 0-1 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Todesfelde(away) | 4-6 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Eintracht Norderstedt(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Eintracht Norderstedt win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 St. Pauli II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 26, 2026 | Eintracht Norderstedt 1-1 St. Pauli II | Friendlies Clubs |
| Mar 8, 2026 | Eintracht Norderstedt 3-2 St. Pauli II | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Sep 7, 2025 | St. Pauli II 2-2 Eintracht Norderstedt | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Nov 30, 2024 | Eintracht Norderstedt 0-3 St. Pauli II | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 18, 2024 | St. Pauli II 1-1 Eintracht Norderstedt | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Apr 7, 2024 | St. Pauli II 2-0 Eintracht Norderstedt | Regionalliga - Nord |
Last archived meeting: Eintracht Norderstedt vs St. Pauli II on Jul 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Eintracht Norderstedt score 1.8 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; St. Pauli II score 1.2 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 73% probability of over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eintracht Norderstedt | 1.8 | 2.1 | 0 | 14/15 | 10/15 |
| St. Pauli II | 1.2 | 1.9 | 1 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Eintracht Norderstedt sit 11th in Regionalliga - Nord (5 points from 5 matches) and St. Pauli II sit 14th (3 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Eintracht Norderstedt | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 5 |
| 14 | St. Pauli II | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Eintracht Norderstedt vs St. Pauli II?
- The Footlab model makes Eintracht Norderstedt the favourite at 48%, against 22% for a draw and 31% for St. Pauli II.
- Where and when is Eintracht Norderstedt vs St. Pauli II played?
- Eintracht Norderstedt vs St. Pauli II is played on December 5, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Edmund-Plambeck-Stadion, in the Regionalliga - Nord.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 5, 2026Werder Bremen IIvsSV Drochtersen/Assel
- Dec 5, 2026VfB LübeckvsPhönix Lübeck
- Dec 5, 2026SSV JeddelohvsEimsbütteler TV
- Dec 5, 2026HSC HannovervsVfB Oldenburg
- Dec 5, 2026Hamburger SV IIvsWeiche Flensburg
- Dec 5, 2026Hannover 96 IIvsBremer SV
- Dec 5, 2026Kickers EmdenvsAtlas Delmenhorst
- Dec 5, 2026TodesfeldevsSchöningen