Where and when is Phönix Lübeck vs St. Pauli II played?

Phönix Lübeck vs St. Pauli II is played on November 21, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Sportplatz an der Travemünder Allee, in the Regionalliga - Nord.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Phönix Lübeck vs St. Pauli II: prediction and stats

Regionalliga - NordNorth - 19Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Sportplatz an der Travemünder Allee, Lübeck

Phönix Lübeck

St. Pauli II

The Footlab model makes Phönix Lübeck the favourite at 68%, against 19% for a draw and 14% for St. Pauli II. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Phönix Lübeck vs St. Pauli II?

Phönix Lübeck starts as the favourite with a 194-point Elo edge (1,954 vs 1,761).

Phönix Lübeck win68 %

Draw19 %

St. Pauli II win14 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Phönix Lübeck have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; St. Pauli II have 3, 5 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Phönix Lübeck
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	SC Paderborn 07(home)	2-4	DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026	VfB Lübeck(home)	4-0	Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 12, 2026	Bremer SV(away)	0-0	Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 9, 2026	SSV Jeddeloh(home)	2-0	Regionalliga - Nord
Jul 31, 2026	SV Drochtersen/Assel(away)	1-2	Regionalliga - Nord

St. Pauli II
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 16, 2026	Werder Bremen II(home)	2-1	Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 12, 2026	SSV Jeddeloh(away)	0-2	Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 9, 2026	Bremer SV(home)	0-1	Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 2, 2026	Todesfelde(away)	4-6	Regionalliga - Nord
Jul 26, 2026	Eintracht Norderstedt(away)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Phönix Lübeck win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 St. Pauli II win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 22, 2026	Phönix Lübeck 3-0 St. Pauli II	Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 27, 2025	St. Pauli II 1-1 Phönix Lübeck	Regionalliga - Nord
Apr 21, 2025	Phönix Lübeck 2-0 St. Pauli II	Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 25, 2024	St. Pauli II 3-5 Phönix Lübeck	Regionalliga - Nord
Mar 27, 2024	St. Pauli II 0-0 Phönix Lübeck	Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 27, 2023	Phönix Lübeck 2-1 St. Pauli II	Regionalliga - Nord

Last archived meeting: Phönix Lübeck vs St. Pauli II on Apr 22, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Phönix Lübeck score 1.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; St. Pauli II score 1.2 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Phönix Lübeck	1.8	1.5	5	9/15	9/15
St. Pauli II	1.2	1.9	1	10/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Phönix Lübeck sit 5th in Regionalliga - Nord (7 points from 4 matches) and St. Pauli II sit 14th (3 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
5	Phönix Lübeck	4	2	1	1	7	2	7
14	St. Pauli II	4	1	0	3	6	10	3

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Phönix Lübeck vs St. Pauli II?: The Footlab model makes Phönix Lübeck the favourite at 68%, against 19% for a draw and 14% for St. Pauli II.
Where and when is Phönix Lübeck vs St. Pauli II played?: Phönix Lübeck vs St. Pauli II is played on November 21, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Sportplatz an der Travemünder Allee, in the Regionalliga - Nord.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.