Cercle Brugge vs KV Mechelen: prediction and stats
Jupiler Pro LeagueRegular Season - 13Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Jan Breydelstadion, Brugge
The Footlab model makes Cercle Brugge the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for KV Mechelen. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cercle Brugge vs KV Mechelen?
A very open match: only 6 Elo points separate Cercle Brugge (1,892) and KV Mechelen (1,886).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cercle Brugge have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; KV Mechelen have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Club Brugge KV(away) | 0-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | St. Truiden(home) | 3-3 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Standard Liege(away) | 2-2 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Monaco(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Reims(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Charleroi(away) | 0-2 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Standard Liege(home) | 3-3 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Gent(away) | 0-2 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Dunkerque(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Willem II(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Cercle Brugge win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 KV Mechelen win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2025 | Cercle Brugge 2-3 KV Mechelen | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 21, 2025 | KV Mechelen 0-0 Cercle Brugge | Jupiler Pro League |
| Jan 12, 2025 | Cercle Brugge 1-0 KV Mechelen | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 22, 2024 | KV Mechelen 2-0 Cercle Brugge | Jupiler Pro League |
| Mar 2, 2024 | Cercle Brugge 2-3 KV Mechelen | Jupiler Pro League |
| Oct 28, 2023 | KV Mechelen 0-2 Cercle Brugge | Jupiler Pro League |
Last archived meeting: Cercle Brugge vs KV Mechelen on Dec 13, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Cercle Brugge score 1.9 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; KV Mechelen score 1.1 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cercle Brugge | 1.9 | 2.1 | 1 | 12/15 | 14/15 |
| KV Mechelen | 1.1 | 1.8 | 4 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cercle Brugge sit 13th in Jupiler Pro League (2 points from 3 matches) and KV Mechelen sit 14th (1 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Cercle Brugge | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 2 |
| 14 | KV Mechelen | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cercle Brugge vs KV Mechelen?
- The Footlab model makes Cercle Brugge the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for KV Mechelen.
- Where and when is Cercle Brugge vs KV Mechelen played?
- Cercle Brugge vs KV Mechelen is played on November 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Jan Breydelstadion, in the Jupiler Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.