St. Vincent / Grenadines vs Belize: prediction and stats
CONCACAF Nations LeagueLeague B - 4Kick-off on November 11, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Chilli Playing Field, Georgetown
The Footlab AI model makes St. Vincent / Grenadines the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for Belize. The most likely score is 1-1. If St. Vincent / Grenadines wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win St. Vincent / Grenadines vs Belize?
A very open match: only 90 Elo points separate St. Vincent / Grenadines (1,481) and Belize (1,391).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for St. Vincent / Grenadines vs Belize
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
St. Vincent / Grenadines
Not enough data to predict the St. Vincent / Grenadines lineup.
Belize
4-1-4-1- 9D. Wade
- 14D. Myvett
- 20K. López
- 16J. Polanco
- 17I. Gill
- 10K. Lopez
- 5D. Nembhard
- 7Nahjib Kazim Guerra
- 3A. Ayala
- 2P. Martínez
- 22W. West
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 12:31 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, St. Vincent / Grenadines have 11 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats; Belize have 5, 1 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6, 2026 | Sint Maarten(home) | 4-0 | CONCACAF Nations League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Sint Maarten(away) | 4-2 | CONCACAF Nations League |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Belize(away) | 1-0 | CONCACAF Nations League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | French Guyana(home) | 2-1 | CONCACAF Nations League |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Barbados(away) | 3-2 | CONCACAF Series |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7, 2026 | French Guyana(away) | 0-1 | CONCACAF Nations League |
| Oct 4, 2026 | French Guyana(home) | 0-2 | CONCACAF Nations League |
| Sep 30, 2026 | St. Vincent / Grenadines(home) | 0-1 | CONCACAF Nations League |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Sint Maarten(away) | 1-0 | CONCACAF Nations League |
| Mar 30, 2026 | Guyana(away) | 1-3 | CONCACAF Series |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 3 St. Vincent / Grenadines wins, 1 draw, 1 Belize win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 30, 2026 | Belize 0-1 St. Vincent / Grenadines | CONCACAF Nations League |
| Nov 21, 2023 | St. Vincent / Grenadines 3-0 Belize | CONCACAF Nations League |
| Sep 8, 2023 | Belize 1-2 St. Vincent / Grenadines | CONCACAF Nations League |
| Sep 1, 2019 | Belize 1-0 St. Vincent / Grenadines | Friendlies |
| Aug 31, 2019 | Belize 1-1 St. Vincent / Grenadines | Friendlies |
Last archived meeting: Belize vs St. Vincent / Grenadines on Sep 30, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
St. Vincent / Grenadines score 2.7 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Belize score 1.3 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Vincent / Grenadines | 2.7 | 1.0 | 6 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Belize | 1.3 | 2.1 | 3 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about St. Vincent / Grenadines vs Belize?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for St. Vincent / Grenadines vs Belize?
- The Footlab AI model makes St. Vincent / Grenadines the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for Belize.
- Where and when is St. Vincent / Grenadines vs Belize played?
- St. Vincent / Grenadines vs Belize is played on November 11, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Chilli Playing Field, in the CONCACAF Nations League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 26, 2026St. Vincent / Grenadines2-1French Guyana
- Sep 27, 2026Sint Maarten0-1Belize
- Sep 29, 2026French Guyana1-0Sint Maarten
- Sep 30, 2026Belize0-1St. Vincent / Grenadines
- Oct 3, 2026Sint Maarten2-4St. Vincent / Grenadines
- Oct 4, 2026Belize0-2French Guyana
- Oct 6, 2026St. Vincent / Grenadines4-0Sint Maarten
- Oct 7, 2026French Guyana1-0Belize