Stabæk II vs Haugesund II: prediction and stats
3. Division - Girone 4Regular Season - 22Kick-off on October 5, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Nadderud Kunstgress, Bekkestua
The Footlab model makes Stabæk II the favourite at 49%, against 20% for a draw and 31% for Haugesund II. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Stabæk II vs Haugesund II?
A very open match: only 8 Elo points separate Stabæk II (1,551) and Haugesund II (1,559).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stabæk II have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Haugesund II have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2026 | Varhaug(away) | 0-2 | 3. Division - Girone 4 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Våg(home) | 2-0 | 3. Division - Girone 4 |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Brodd(away) | 2-2 | 3. Division - Girone 4 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Viking II(home) | 1-1 | 3. Division - Girone 4 |
| Jun 28, 2026 | Vindbjart(away) | 3-2 | 3. Division - Girone 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2026 | Staal Jørpeland(away) | 4-3 | 3. Division - Girone 4 |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Viking II(home) | 4-2 | 3. Division - Girone 4 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Flekkerøy(away) | 1-2 | 3. Division - Girone 4 |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Varhaug(home) | 2-2 | 3. Division - Girone 4 |
| Jun 28, 2026 | Brodd(away) | 0-4 | 3. Division - Girone 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Stabæk II win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Haugesund II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2026 | Haugesund II 3-2 Stabæk II | 3. Division - Girone 4 |
Last archived meeting: Haugesund II vs Stabæk II on Apr 27, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Stabæk II score 2.2 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Haugesund II score 2.3 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 82% probability of over 2.5 goals and 79% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stabæk II | 2.2 | 2.5 | 1 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
| Haugesund II | 2.3 | 2.5 | 0 | 12/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Stabæk II sit 9th in 3. Division - Girone 4 (20 points from 16 matches) and Haugesund II sit 8th (21 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Haugesund II | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 36 | 40 | 21 |
| 9 | Stabæk II | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 35 | 40 | 20 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Stabæk II vs Haugesund II?
- The Footlab model makes Stabæk II the favourite at 49%, against 20% for a draw and 31% for Haugesund II.
- Where and when is Stabæk II vs Haugesund II played?
- Stabæk II vs Haugesund II is played on October 5, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Nadderud Kunstgress, in the 3. Division - Girone 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 82% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.