Madla vs Brodd: prediction and stats
3. Division - Girone 4Regular Season - 22Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Madla Handelslag Stadion, Hafrsfjord
The Footlab model makes Madla the favourite at 64%, against 17% for a draw and 19% for Brodd. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Madla vs Brodd?
A very open match: only 88 Elo points separate Madla (1,720) and Brodd (1,632).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Madla have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Brodd have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Vidar(home) | 3-2 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Viking II(away) | 1-1 | 3. Division - Girone 4 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Vindbjart(home) | 4-3 | 3. Division - Girone 4 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Våg(away) | 3-2 | 3. Division - Girone 4 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Flekkerøy(home) | 5-1 | 3. Division - Girone 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Flekkerøy(away) | 1-0 | 3. Division - Girone 4 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Mandalskameratene(away) | 1-2 | 3. Division - Girone 4 |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Stabæk II(home) | 2-2 | 3. Division - Girone 4 |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Åkra(away) | 4-1 | 3. Division - Girone 4 |
| Jun 28, 2026 | Haugesund II(home) | 4-0 | 3. Division - Girone 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Madla win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Brodd win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2026 | Brodd 3-4 Madla | 3. Division - Girone 4 |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Madla 2-2 Brodd | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
| May 31, 2025 | Brodd 2-2 Madla | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
| Jul 6, 2024 | Brodd 3-1 Madla | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| May 30, 2024 | Madla 0-3 Brodd | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Sep 21, 2023 | Madla 1-0 Brodd | 3. Division - Girone 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Madla score 2.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Brodd score 2.0 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 83% probability of over 2.5 goals and 76% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madla | 2.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 12/15 | 13/15 |
| Brodd | 2.0 | 1.8 | 2 | 12/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Madla sit 1st in 3. Division - Girone 4 (32 points from 16 matches) and Brodd sit 7th (23 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Madla | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 40 | 24 | 32 |
| 7 | Brodd | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 33 | 31 | 23 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Madla vs Brodd?
- The Footlab model makes Madla the favourite at 64%, against 17% for a draw and 19% for Brodd.
- Where and when is Madla vs Brodd played?
- Madla vs Brodd is played on October 3, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Madla Handelslag Stadion, in the 3. Division - Girone 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 83% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.