Match

Stade Mouscronnois vs Stockay-Warfusée: prediction and stats

Second Amateur Division - ACFFACFF - 29Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Stade Le Canonnier, Mouscron (Moeskron)

Stade MouscronnoisStockay-Warfusée

The Footlab AI model makes Stade Mouscronnois the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for Stockay-Warfusée. The most likely score is 1-1. If Stade Mouscronnois wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,718 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Stade Mouscronnois vs Stockay-Warfusée?

Stade Mouscronnois starts as the favourite with a 188-point Elo edge (1,926 vs 1,738).

59%22%19%
Stade Mouscronnois winDrawStockay-Warfusée win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Stade Mouscronnois vs Stockay-Warfusée

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Stade Mouscronnois

Not enough data to predict the Stade Mouscronnois lineup.

Stockay-Warfusée

Not enough data to predict the Stockay-Warfusée lineup.

Computed on October 18, 2026 at 02:04 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stade Mouscronnois have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Stockay-Warfusée have 4, 3 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Stade Mouscronnois
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Richelle United(home)6-2Second Amateur Division - ACFF
Oct 11, 2026Ganshoren(away)2-0Second Amateur Division - ACFF
Oct 3, 2026Entité Manageoise(home)3-2Second Amateur Division - ACFF
Sep 27, 2026Aywaille(away)4-0Second Amateur Division - ACFF
Sep 19, 2026La Calamine(home)3-4Second Amateur Division - ACFF
Stockay-Warfusée
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Crossing Schaerbeek(home)0-0Second Amateur Division - ACFF
Oct 3, 2026Ostiches(away)2-1Second Amateur Division - ACFF
Sep 27, 2026Jette(home)0-2Second Amateur Division - ACFF
Sep 19, 2026Union Namur(away)0-0Second Amateur Division - ACFF
Sep 13, 2026Braine(home)0-2Second Amateur Division - ACFF

How many goals should we expect?

Stade Mouscronnois score 2.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Stockay-Warfusée score 1.0 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Stade Mouscronnois2.91.4310/1510/15
Stockay-Warfusée1.01.547/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Stade Mouscronnois sit 2nd in Second Amateur Division - ACFF (17 points from 9 matches) and Stockay-Warfusée sit 15th (9 points from 8 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Stade Mouscronnois9522251617
15Stockay-Warfusée8233699

A question about Stade Mouscronnois vs Stockay-Warfusée?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Stade Mouscronnois vs Stockay-Warfusée?
The Footlab AI model makes Stade Mouscronnois the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for Stockay-Warfusée.
Where and when is Stade Mouscronnois vs Stockay-Warfusée played?
Stade Mouscronnois vs Stockay-Warfusée is played on March 20, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Le Canonnier, in the Second Amateur Division - ACFF.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Stade Mouscronnois and Stockay-Warfusée

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