Where and when is Stal Rzeszów vs Ruch Chorzów played?

Stal Rzeszów vs Ruch Chorzów is played on August 24, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Stal, in the I Liga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Stal Rzeszów vs Ruch Chorzów: prediction and stats

I LigaRegular Season - 5Kick-off on August 24, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Stal, Rzeszów

Stal Rzeszów

Ruch Chorzów

The Footlab model makes Ruch Chorzów the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Stal Rzeszów. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Stal Rzeszów vs Ruch Chorzów?

Ruch Chorzów starts as the favourite with a 123-point Elo edge (1,850 vs 1,727).

Stal Rzeszów win24 %

Draw24 %

Ruch Chorzów win52 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stal Rzeszów have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Ruch Chorzów have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Stal Rzeszów
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 14, 2026	Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki(away)	1-1	I Liga
Aug 8, 2026	Stal Mielec(away)	1-1	I Liga
Aug 1, 2026	Arka Gdynia(away)	0-4	I Liga
Jul 25, 2026	Chrobry Głogów(home)	1-5	I Liga
Jul 18, 2026	Ruh Lviv(home)	2-2	Friendlies Clubs

Ruch Chorzów
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 14, 2026	Lechia Gdansk(home)	1-0	I Liga
Aug 7, 2026	Polonia Warszawa(away)	1-1	I Liga
Aug 2, 2026	Miedz Legnica(home)	0-2	I Liga
Jul 26, 2026	Nieciecza(away)	0-2	I Liga
Jul 18, 2026	Karviná(away)	1-2	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Stal Rzeszów win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 Ruch Chorzów win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 27, 2026	Stal Rzeszów 0-1 Ruch Chorzów	I Liga
Aug 20, 2025	Ruch Chorzów 4-0 Stal Rzeszów	I Liga
Apr 27, 2025	Ruch Chorzów 3-0 Stal Rzeszów	I Liga
Oct 21, 2024	Stal Rzeszów 0-2 Ruch Chorzów	I Liga
Jul 8, 2023	Ruch Chorzów 1-1 Stal Rzeszów	Friendlies Clubs
Feb 26, 2023	Ruch Chorzów 2-0 Stal Rzeszów	I Liga

Last archived meeting: Stal Rzeszów vs Ruch Chorzów on Feb 27, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Stal Rzeszów score 1.3 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Ruch Chorzów score 1.2 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Stal Rzeszów	1.3	2.3	1	11/15	11/15
Ruch Chorzów	1.2	1.3	4	7/15	5/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Stal Rzeszów sit 18th in I Liga (2 points from 4 matches) and Ruch Chorzów sit 15th (4 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
15	Ruch Chorzów	4	1	1	2	2	5	4
18	Stal Rzeszów	4	0	2	2	3	11	2

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Stal Rzeszów vs Ruch Chorzów?: The Footlab model makes Ruch Chorzów the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Stal Rzeszów.
Where and when is Stal Rzeszów vs Ruch Chorzów played?: Stal Rzeszów vs Ruch Chorzów is played on August 24, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Stal, in the I Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.