Where and when is Ruch Chorzów vs Warta Poznań played?

Ruch Chorzów vs Warta Poznań is played on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the I Liga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Ruch Chorzów vs Warta Poznań: prediction and stats

I LigaRegular Season - 15Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Gliwice

Ruch Chorzów

Warta Poznań

The Footlab model makes Ruch Chorzów the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Warta Poznań. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Ruch Chorzów vs Warta Poznań?

A very open match: only 22 Elo points separate Ruch Chorzów (1,862) and Warta Poznań (1,884).

Ruch Chorzów win39 %

Draw26 %

Warta Poznań win35 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ruch Chorzów have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Warta Poznań have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Ruch Chorzów
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 24, 2026	Stal Rzeszów(away)	1-0	I Liga
Aug 14, 2026	Lechia Gdansk(home)	1-0	I Liga
Aug 7, 2026	Polonia Warszawa(away)	1-1	I Liga
Aug 2, 2026	Miedz Legnica(home)	0-2	I Liga
Jul 26, 2026	Nieciecza(away)	0-2	I Liga

Warta Poznań
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Chrobry Głogów(away)	1-0	I Liga
Aug 15, 2026	Odra Opole(away)	1-3	I Liga
Aug 9, 2026	Nieciecza(away)	2-1	I Liga
Aug 5, 2026	Resovia Rzeszów(home)	0-1	Cup
Jul 31, 2026	Lechia Gdansk(away)	3-0	I Liga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Ruch Chorzów win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Warta Poznań win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 3, 2025	Warta Poznań 0-2 Ruch Chorzów	I Liga
Oct 25, 2024	Ruch Chorzów 2-1 Warta Poznań	I Liga
Feb 17, 2024	Ruch Chorzów 0-0 Warta Poznań	Ekstraklasa
Aug 14, 2023	Warta Poznań 2-2 Ruch Chorzów	Ekstraklasa

Last archived meeting: Warta Poznań vs Ruch Chorzów on May 3, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Ruch Chorzów score 1.2 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Warta Poznań score 1.7 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Ruch Chorzów	1.2	1.2	5	6/15	5/15
Warta Poznań	1.7	1.6	5	9/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Ruch Chorzów sit 10th in I Liga (7 points from 5 matches) and Warta Poznań sit 6th (9 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
6	Warta Poznań	5	3	0	2	10	8	9
10	Ruch Chorzów	5	2	1	2	3	5	7

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Ruch Chorzów vs Warta Poznań?: The Footlab model makes Ruch Chorzów the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Warta Poznań.
Where and when is Ruch Chorzów vs Warta Poznań played?: Ruch Chorzów vs Warta Poznań is played on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the I Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.