Where and when is Stal Rzeszów vs Polonia Bytom played?

Stal Rzeszów vs Polonia Bytom is played on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Stal, in the I Liga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Stal Rzeszów vs Polonia Bytom: prediction and stats

I LigaRegular Season - 15Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Stal, Rzeszów

Stal Rzeszów

Polonia Bytom

The Footlab model makes Polonia Bytom the favourite at 50%, against 22% for a draw and 27% for Stal Rzeszów. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Stal Rzeszów vs Polonia Bytom?

Polonia Bytom starts as the favourite with a 119-point Elo edge (1,842 vs 1,723).

Stal Rzeszów win27 %

Draw22 %

Polonia Bytom win50 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stal Rzeszów have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Polonia Bytom have 6, 2 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Stal Rzeszów
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 24, 2026	Ruch Chorzów(home)	0-1	I Liga
Aug 14, 2026	Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki(away)	1-1	I Liga
Aug 8, 2026	Stal Mielec(away)	1-1	I Liga
Aug 1, 2026	Arka Gdynia(away)	0-4	I Liga
Jul 25, 2026	Chrobry Głogów(home)	1-5	I Liga

Polonia Bytom
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki(home)	2-2	I Liga
Aug 16, 2026	Stal Mielec(away)	2-5	I Liga
Aug 7, 2026	Pogoń Siedlce(home)	2-2	I Liga
Jul 31, 2026	ŁKS Łódź(away)	1-2	I Liga
Jul 24, 2026	Warta Poznań(home)	4-3	I Liga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Stal Rzeszów win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Polonia Bytom win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 15, 2026	Stal Rzeszów 3-1 Polonia Bytom	I Liga
Aug 9, 2025	Polonia Bytom 0-1 Stal Rzeszów	I Liga

Last archived meeting: Stal Rzeszów vs Polonia Bytom on Feb 15, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Stal Rzeszów score 1.3 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Polonia Bytom score 2.1 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Stal Rzeszów	1.3	2.3	1	11/15	11/15
Polonia Bytom	2.1	2.3	2	13/15	13/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Stal Rzeszów sit 18th in I Liga (2 points from 5 matches) and Polonia Bytom sit 15th (5 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
15	Polonia Bytom	5	1	2	2	11	14	5
18	Stal Rzeszów	5	0	2	3	3	12	2

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Stal Rzeszów vs Polonia Bytom?: The Footlab model makes Polonia Bytom the favourite at 50%, against 22% for a draw and 27% for Stal Rzeszów.
Where and when is Stal Rzeszów vs Polonia Bytom played?: Stal Rzeszów vs Polonia Bytom is played on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Stal, in the I Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.