Stanway Rovers vs Chatham Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - IsthmianRegular Season - 38Kick-off on March 27, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Hawthorns, Colchester, Essex
The Footlab model makes Chatham Town the favourite at 51%, against 23% for a draw and 25% for Stanway Rovers. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Stanway Rovers vs Chatham Town?
Chatham Town starts as the favourite with a 180-point Elo edge (1,940 vs 1,760).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stanway Rovers have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Chatham Town have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Carshalton Athletic(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Welling United(away) | 0-4 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Ramsgate(home) | 1-3 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Cheshunt(away) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Heybridge Swifts(away) | 5-0 | Non League Div One - Isthmian North |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Whitehawk(away) | 3-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Three Bridges(home) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Dulwich Hamlet(home) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | St Albans City(away) | 1-3 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Maidstone Utd(home) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Stanway Rovers score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Chatham Town score 2.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stanway Rovers | 1.5 | 1.5 | 6 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Chatham Town | 2.1 | 1.2 | 6 | 7/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Stanway Rovers sit 21st in Non League Premier - Isthmian (1 points from 4 matches) and Chatham Town sit 4th (9 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Chatham Town | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 9 |
| 21 | Stanway Rovers | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Stanway Rovers vs Chatham Town?
- The Footlab model makes Chatham Town the favourite at 51%, against 23% for a draw and 25% for Stanway Rovers.
- Where and when is Stanway Rovers vs Chatham Town played?
- Stanway Rovers vs Chatham Town is played on March 27, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Hawthorns, in the Non League Premier - Isthmian.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 27, 2027DartfordvsSt Albans City
- Mar 27, 2027LeatherheadvsEnfield Town
- Mar 27, 2027WhitehawkvsCarshalton Athletic
- Mar 27, 2027Brentwood TownvsWelling United
- Mar 27, 2027RamsgatevsDulwich Hamlet
- Mar 27, 2027Three BridgesvsWhyteleafe
- Mar 27, 2027CheshuntvsMaldon & Tiptree
- Mar 27, 2027Cray WanderersvsAveley