Where and when is Stanway Rovers vs Lewes played?

Stanway Rovers vs Lewes is played on January 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Hawthorns, in the Non League Premier - Isthmian.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Stanway Rovers vs Lewes: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - IsthmianRegular Season - 28Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Hawthorns, Colchester, Essex

Stanway Rovers

Lewes

The Footlab model makes Stanway Rovers the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for Lewes. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Stanway Rovers vs Lewes?

A very open match: only 37 Elo points separate Stanway Rovers (1,727) and Lewes (1,690).

Stanway Rovers win46 %

Draw24 %

Lewes win29 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stanway Rovers have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Lewes have 4, 3 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Stanway Rovers
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Carshalton Athletic(home)	1-2	Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 15, 2026	Welling United(away)	0-4	Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 11, 2026	Ramsgate(home)	1-3	Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 8, 2026	Cheshunt(away)	0-0	Non League Premier - Isthmian
Apr 25, 2026	Heybridge Swifts(away)	5-0	Non League Div One - Isthmian North

Lewes
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Whyteleafe(home)	3-1	Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 15, 2026	St Albans City(away)	2-0	Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 11, 2026	Whitehawk(away)	0-0	Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 8, 2026	Enfield Town(home)	0-4	Non League Premier - Isthmian
Apr 25, 2026	Chatham Town(away)	1-2	Non League Premier - Isthmian

How many goals should we expect?

Stanway Rovers score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Lewes score 1.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Stanway Rovers	1.5	1.5	6	7/15	9/15
Lewes	1.1	1.7	3	8/15	11/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Stanway Rovers sit 21st in Non League Premier - Isthmian (1 points from 4 matches) and Lewes sit 9th (7 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
9	Lewes	4	2	1	1	5	5	7
21	Stanway Rovers	4	0	1	3	2	9	1

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Stanway Rovers vs Lewes?: The Footlab model makes Stanway Rovers the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for Lewes.
Where and when is Stanway Rovers vs Lewes played?: Stanway Rovers vs Lewes is played on January 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Hawthorns, in the Non League Premier - Isthmian.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.