Hercules vs Staphorst: prediction and stats
Derde DivisieRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Sportpark Voordorp (USV Hercules), Utrecht
The Footlab AI model makes Hercules the favourite at 39%, against 23% for a draw and 38% for Staphorst. The most likely score is 1-1. If Hercules wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hercules vs Staphorst?
A very open match: only 31 Elo points separate Hercules (1,713) and Staphorst (1,682).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Hercules vs Staphorst
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Hercules
Not enough data to predict the Hercules lineup.
Staphorst
4-3-3- 11S. Haanstra
- 20J. Hooikammer
- 11M. Luchtenberg
- 7D. Schra
- 17M. van 't Ende
- 6R. Crediet
- 4D. Muis
- 15K. Engbers
- 5J. Duit
- 21J. Huizing
- 24A. van Zaltbommel
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 09:44 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hercules have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Staphorst have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Sportlust '46(home) | 0-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | DVS 33 Ermelo(home) | 1-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Hollandia(away) | 3-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 20, 2026 | TEC(home) | 2-4 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Sparta Nijkerk(away) | 2-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Hollandia(away) | 4-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | TEC(home) | 0-3 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Sparta Nijkerk(away) | 2-3 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 22, 2026 | SC Genemuiden(home) | 2-3 | KNVB Beker |
| Sep 19, 2026 | ACV(home) | 2-3 | Derde Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Hercules wins, 1 draw, 1 Staphorst win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2026 | Hercules 3-2 Staphorst | Derde Divisie |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Staphorst 2-0 Hercules | Derde Divisie |
| Apr 20, 2024 | Hercules 3-2 Staphorst | Derde Divisie |
| Nov 18, 2023 | Staphorst 1-1 Hercules | Derde Divisie |
Last archived meeting: Hercules vs Staphorst on Feb 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hercules score 1.4 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Staphorst score 1.7 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hercules | 1.4 | 1.7 | 6 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Staphorst | 1.7 | 2.1 | 2 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hercules sit 12th in Derde Divisie (10 points from 9 matches) and Staphorst sit 14th (6 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Hercules | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 20 | 10 |
| 14 | Staphorst | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 20 | 6 |
A question about Hercules vs Staphorst?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hercules vs Staphorst?
- The Footlab AI model makes Hercules the favourite at 39%, against 23% for a draw and 38% for Staphorst.
- Where and when is Hercules vs Staphorst played?
- Hercules vs Staphorst is played on October 24, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Voordorp (USV Hercules), in the Derde Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.