Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs KSZO 1929: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 4Group IV - 17Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion OSiR Wisła, Tarnobrzeg
The Footlab model makes KSZO 1929 the favourite at 54%, against 23% for a draw and 22% for Siarka Tarnobrzeg. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs KSZO 1929?
KSZO 1929 starts as the favourite with a 181-point Elo edge (1,895 vs 1,714).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Siarka Tarnobrzeg have 1 wins, 5 draws and 9 defeats; KSZO 1929 have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Sokół Kolb.(away) | 0-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Jarosław(home) | 1-3 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Busko-Zdroj(away) | 4-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Czarni Połaniec(home) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Hetman Zamosc(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów(home) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Wiślanie Jaśkowice(away) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Korona Kielce II(home) | 3-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Star Starachowice(away) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Podlasie Biała Podlaska(home) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Siarka Tarnobrzeg win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 KSZO 1929 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg 1-2 KSZO 1929 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Oct 11, 2025 | KSZO 1929 1-2 Siarka Tarnobrzeg | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Mar 22, 2025 | KSZO 1929 3-0 Siarka Tarnobrzeg | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Jan 11, 2025 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg 2-1 KSZO 1929 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg 1-2 KSZO 1929 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| May 11, 2024 | KSZO 1929 1-2 Siarka Tarnobrzeg | III Liga - Group 4 |
Last archived meeting: Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs KSZO 1929 on May 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Siarka Tarnobrzeg score 1.4 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; KSZO 1929 score 1.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Siarka Tarnobrzeg | 1.4 | 2.0 | 1 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
| KSZO 1929 | 1.9 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Siarka Tarnobrzeg sit 16th in III Liga - Group 4 (4 points from 5 matches) and KSZO 1929 sit 3rd (11 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | KSZO 1929 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 11 |
| 16 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs KSZO 1929?
- The Footlab model makes KSZO 1929 the favourite at 54%, against 23% for a draw and 22% for Siarka Tarnobrzeg.
- Where and when is Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs KSZO 1929 played?
- Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs KSZO 1929 is played on November 14, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion OSiR Wisła, in the III Liga - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 14, 2026Korona Kielce IIvsMoravia Morawica
- Nov 14, 2026Podlasie Biała PodlaskavsWisła Kraków II
- Nov 14, 2026Wisłoka DębicavsCzarni Połaniec
- Nov 14, 2026Wiślanie JaśkowicevsPogoń-Sokół Lubaczów
- Nov 14, 2026JarosławvsChełmianka Chełm
- Nov 14, 2026Star StarachowicevsNaprzód
- Nov 14, 2026Sokół Kolb.vsBusko-Zdroj
- Nov 14, 2026KS Wieczysta Krakow IIvsHetman Zamosc