Stella vs AFAD: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 4Kick-off on October 29, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC)Stade Robert Champroux, Abidjan
The Footlab AI model makes AFAD the favourite at 44%, against 31% for a draw and 25% for Stella. The most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,997 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 22, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Stella vs AFAD?
A very open match: only 80 Elo points separate Stella (1,659) and AFAD (1,740).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Stella vs AFAD
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Stella
Not enough data to predict the Stella lineup.
AFAD
4-3-3- 28Noel N'Guessan Bi Kouamé
- 21T. Bonheur
- 17K. Amani
- 10Sanga Topio Coulibaly
- 8L. Kocou
- 12K. Koffi
- 2I. Sango
- 27A. Zouzou
- 4M. Niegbo
- 13B. Soumahoro
- 23C. Trabi
Computed on October 22, 2026 at 09:24 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stella have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; AFAD have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Yamoussoukro(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | ASEC Mimosas(away) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | SOA(away) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
| May 23, 2026 | Racing d'Abidjan(home) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| May 16, 2026 | Bouaké(away) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | CS Sfaxien(home) | 1-1 | CAF Confederation Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | ASEC Mimosas(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | SOA(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Bouaké(away) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | East End Lions(away) | 2-2 | CAF Confederation Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Stella win, 2 draws, 3 AFAD wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2026 | Stella 1-2 AFAD | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 5, 2025 | AFAD 2-0 Stella | Ligue 1 |
| May 4, 2025 | AFAD 0-0 Stella | Ligue 1 |
| Dec 8, 2024 | Stella 0-1 AFAD | Ligue 1 |
| May 26, 2024 | AFAD 1-1 Stella | Ligue 1 |
| Dec 4, 2023 | Stella 3-0 AFAD | Ligue 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Stella score 0.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; AFAD score 1.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 36% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stella | 0.9 | 0.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| AFAD | 1.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Stella sit 14th in Ligue 1 (2 points from 3 matches) and AFAD sit 13th (2 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | AFAD | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
| 14 | Stella | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
A question about Stella vs AFAD?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Stella vs AFAD?
- The Footlab AI model makes AFAD the favourite at 44%, against 31% for a draw and 25% for Stella.
- Where and when is Stella vs AFAD played?
- Stella vs AFAD is played on October 29, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC) at Stade Robert Champroux, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 36% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.