Stellenbosch vs Richards Bay: prediction and stats
Premier Soccer LeagueRegular Season - 19Kick-off on February 12, 2027 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Danie Craven Stadium, Stellenbosch
The Footlab model makes Stellenbosch the favourite at 46%, against 29% for a draw and 25% for Richards Bay. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Stellenbosch vs Richards Bay?
A very open match: only 49 Elo points separate Stellenbosch (1,759) and Richards Bay (1,710).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stellenbosch have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Richards Bay have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Marumo Gallants(home) | 3-1 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Polokwane City(away) | 3-3 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Amazulu(home) | 0-1 | Premier Soccer League |
| May 23, 2026 | Marumo Gallants(away) | 0-0 | Premier Soccer League |
| May 16, 2026 | Orbit College(home) | 2-0 | Premier Soccer League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Durban City(away) | 1-1 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Chippa United(away) | 1-1 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Polokwane City(home) | 1-2 | Premier Soccer League |
| May 23, 2026 | Magesi(away) | 0-1 | Premier Soccer League |
| May 16, 2026 | Sekhukhune United(home) | 1-1 | Premier Soccer League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Stellenbosch win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Richards Bay win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2026 | Richards Bay 2-1 Stellenbosch | Premier Soccer League |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Stellenbosch 0-1 Richards Bay | Premier Soccer League |
| Feb 21, 2025 | Stellenbosch 1-1 Richards Bay | Premier Soccer League |
| Oct 26, 2024 | Richards Bay 0-0 Stellenbosch | Premier Soccer League |
| May 25, 2024 | Richards Bay 2-1 Stellenbosch | Premier Soccer League |
| Dec 2, 2023 | Richards Bay 0-3 Stellenbosch | League Cup |
Last archived meeting: Richards Bay vs Stellenbosch on Apr 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Stellenbosch score 1.1 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Richards Bay score 0.8 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stellenbosch | 1.1 | 1.0 | 4 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| Richards Bay | 0.8 | 1.0 | 4 | 8/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Stellenbosch sit 7th in Premier Soccer League (4 points from 3 matches) and Richards Bay sit 11th (2 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Stellenbosch | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 4 |
| 11 | Richards Bay | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Stellenbosch vs Richards Bay?
- The Footlab model makes Stellenbosch the favourite at 46%, against 29% for a draw and 25% for Richards Bay.
- Where and when is Stellenbosch vs Richards Bay played?
- Stellenbosch vs Richards Bay is played on February 12, 2027 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Danie Craven Stadium, in the Premier Soccer League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.