Šternberk vs Baťov: prediction and stats
4. liga - Divizie EDivision E - 14Kick-off on October 30, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Šternberk, Šternberk
The Footlab model makes Baťov the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Šternberk. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Šternberk vs Baťov?
A very open match: only 53 Elo points separate Šternberk (1,471) and Baťov (1,524).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Šternberk have 1 wins, 6 draws and 8 defeats; Baťov have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Kozlovice(away) | 0-1 | 4. liga - Divizie E |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hluk(home) | 1-1 | 4. liga - Divizie E |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Polanka nad Odrou(home) | 1-5 | Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Břeclav(away) | 1-3 | 4. liga - Divizie E |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Jiskra Rýmařov(home) | 1-1 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Holešov(away) | 1-3 | 4. liga - Divizie E |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Brumov(home) | 0-1 | 4. liga - Divizie E |
| Aug 8, 2026 | SK Krumvir(away) | 0-3 | 4. liga - Divizie E |
| Jun 12, 2026 | Slavičín(home) | 4-2 | 4. liga - Divizie E |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Holešov(away) | 0-3 | 4. liga - Divizie E |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Šternberk win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Baťov win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Šternberk 1-1 Baťov | 4. liga - Divizie E |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Baťov 2-1 Šternberk | 4. liga - Divizie E |
| Jun 14, 2025 | Šternberk 4-3 Baťov | 4. liga - Divizie E |
| Nov 9, 2024 | Baťov 2-0 Šternberk | 4. liga - Divizie E |
| Mar 9, 2024 | Baťov 2-0 Šternberk | 4. liga - Divizie E |
| Aug 5, 2023 | Šternberk 4-2 Baťov | 4. liga - Divizie E |
How many goals should we expect?
Šternberk score 1.0 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Baťov score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Šternberk | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2 | 11/15 | 7/15 |
| Baťov | 1.3 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Šternberk sit 12th in 4. liga - Divizie E (1 points from 2 matches) and Baťov sit 14th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Šternberk | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| 13 | Šternberk | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
| 14 | Baťov | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 | Baťov | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Šternberk vs Baťov?
- The Footlab model makes Baťov the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Šternberk.
- Where and when is Šternberk vs Baťov played?
- Šternberk vs Baťov is played on October 30, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Šternberk, in the 4. liga - Divizie E.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.