Šternberk vs Holešov: prediction and stats
4. liga - Divizie EDivision E - 1Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Šternberk, Šternberk
The Footlab model makes Holešov the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Šternberk. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Šternberk vs Holešov?
A very open match: only 74 Elo points separate Šternberk (1,471) and Holešov (1,545).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Šternberk have 1 wins, 6 draws and 8 defeats; Holešov have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Kozlovice(away) | 0-1 | 4. liga - Divizie E |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hluk(home) | 1-1 | 4. liga - Divizie E |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Polanka nad Odrou(home) | 1-5 | Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Břeclav(away) | 1-3 | 4. liga - Divizie E |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Jiskra Rýmařov(home) | 1-1 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Baťov(home) | 3-1 | 4. liga - Divizie E |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Prostejov B(away) | 2-2 | 4. liga - Divizie E |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kroměříž II(home) | 3-0 | 4. liga - Divizie E |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Slavičín(home) | 1-3 | Cup |
| Jun 12, 2026 | Strání(away) | 1-3 | 4. liga - Divizie E |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Šternberk win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Holešov win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | Šternberk 2-0 Holešov | 4. liga - Divizie E |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Holešov 3-1 Šternberk | 4. liga - Divizie E |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Holešov 1-1 Šternberk | 4. liga - Divizie E |
| Aug 31, 2024 | Šternberk 1-1 Holešov | 4. liga - Divizie E |
| May 5, 2024 | Holešov 2-3 Šternberk | 4. liga - Divizie E |
| Sep 30, 2023 | Šternberk 2-1 Holešov | 4. liga - Divizie E |
How many goals should we expect?
Šternberk score 1.0 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Holešov score 1.6 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Šternberk | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2 | 11/15 | 7/15 |
| Holešov | 1.6 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Šternberk sit 12th in 4. liga - Divizie E (1 points from 2 matches) and Holešov sit 5th (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Holešov | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 7 |
| 5 | Holešov | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 4 |
| 12 | Šternberk | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| 13 | Šternberk | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Šternberk vs Holešov?
- The Footlab model makes Holešov the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Šternberk.
- Where and when is Šternberk vs Holešov played?
- Šternberk vs Holešov is played on November 14, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Šternberk, in the 4. liga - Divizie E.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.