Kelty Hearts vs Stranraer: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 28Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)New Central Park, Kelty
The Footlab AI model makes Kelty Hearts the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Stranraer. The most likely score is 1-1. If Kelty Hearts wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 3,044 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 23, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kelty Hearts vs Stranraer?
On Elo ratings, Kelty Hearts has 1,453 points and Stranraer 1,565.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Kelty Hearts vs Stranraer
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Kelty Hearts
4-1-3-2- 11R. Cole
- 9K. Higginbotham
- 14J. Hislop
- 10I. Murray
- 26R. Cunningham
- 17M. Falconer
- 5C. Flatman
- 25G. Walker
- 3C. Hannah
- 15A. Davidson
- 1J. Smith
Stranraer
4-1-3-2- 16Lewis Dobbie
- 11A. Healy
- 8A. Quigg
- 12A. Traynor
- 24S. Mason
- 14Z. Bruce
- 4M. McLuckie
- 2E. Dunne
- 5Kenzi Nair
- 3F. Ecrepont
- 1M. Currie
Computed on October 23, 2026 at 12:38 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kelty Hearts have 7 wins, 0 draws and 8 defeats; Stranraer have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Forfar Athletic(home) | 2-1 | League Two |
| Oct 13, 2026 | East Kilbride(away) | 1-2 | Challenge Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Stirling Albion(away) | 1-2 | League Two |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Spartans(away) | 2-0 | League Two |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Montrose(home) | 2-1 | Challenge Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Spartans(away) | 2-0 | League Two |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Kilmarnock II(home) | 3-3 | Challenge Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Annan Athletic(away) | 6-1 | League Two |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Edinburgh City(home) | 0-0 | League Two |
| Sep 26, 2026 | East Kilbride(home) | 4-3 | Challenge Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Kelty Hearts wins, 0 draws, 1 Stranraer win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 29, 2026 | Stranraer 2-0 Kelty Hearts | League Two |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Kelty Hearts 3-0 Stranraer | Challenge Cup |
| Jul 25, 2023 | Kelty Hearts 2-0 Stranraer | League Cup |
| Apr 16, 2022 | Stranraer 0-3 Kelty Hearts | League Two |
| Jan 29, 2022 | Kelty Hearts 3-2 Stranraer | League Two |
| Dec 18, 2021 | Stranraer 0-4 Kelty Hearts | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Stranraer vs Kelty Hearts on Aug 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Kelty Hearts score 1.9 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Stranraer score 2.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelty Hearts | 1.9 | 2.2 | 2 | 12/15 | 13/15 |
| Stranraer | 2.7 | 1.3 | 6 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kelty Hearts sit 5th in League Two (15 points from 11 matches) and Stranraer sit 1st (23 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stranraer | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 25 | 9 | 23 |
| 5 | Kelty Hearts | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 21 | 15 |
A question about Kelty Hearts vs Stranraer?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kelty Hearts vs Stranraer?
- The Footlab AI model makes Kelty Hearts the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Stranraer.
- Where and when is Kelty Hearts vs Stranraer played?
- Kelty Hearts vs Stranraer is played on March 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at New Central Park, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.