Kelty Hearts vs Stranraer: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 28Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)New Central Park, Kelty
The Footlab model makes Kelty Hearts the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Stranraer. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kelty Hearts vs Stranraer?
A very open match: only 14 Elo points separate Kelty Hearts (1,528) and Stranraer (1,542).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kelty Hearts have 5 wins, 1 draws and 9 defeats; Stranraer have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dumbarton(home) | 3-1 | League Two |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Elgin City(away) | 1-4 | League Two |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Motherwell U21(home) | 4-3 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Stirling Albion(home) | 3-2 | League Two |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Forfar Athletic(away) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Stirling Albion(away) | 2-2 | League Two |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Spartans(home) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Alloa Athletic(away) | 1-2 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Annan Athletic(home) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Clyde(away) | 1-3 | League Two |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 6 Kelty Hearts win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Stranraer win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 6, 2025 | Kelty Hearts 3-0 Stranraer | Challenge Cup |
| Jul 25, 2023 | Kelty Hearts 2-0 Stranraer | League Cup |
| Apr 16, 2022 | Stranraer 0-3 Kelty Hearts | League Two |
| Jan 29, 2022 | Kelty Hearts 3-2 Stranraer | League Two |
| Dec 18, 2021 | Stranraer 0-4 Kelty Hearts | League Two |
| Sep 25, 2021 | Kelty Hearts 1-0 Stranraer | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Kelty Hearts vs Stranraer on Sep 6, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Kelty Hearts score 1.2 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Stranraer score 1.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelty Hearts | 1.2 | 2.1 | 1 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Stranraer | 1.0 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kelty Hearts sit 4th in League Two (6 points from 4 matches) and Stranraer sit 7th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Kelty Hearts | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 6 |
| 7 | Stranraer | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kelty Hearts vs Stranraer?
- The Footlab model makes Kelty Hearts the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Stranraer.
- Where and when is Kelty Hearts vs Stranraer played?
- Kelty Hearts vs Stranraer is played on March 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at New Central Park, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.