Stirling University vs Musselburgh Athletic: prediction and stats
Football League - Lowland LeagueRegular SeasonKick-off on December 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Forthbank Stadium, Stirling
The Footlab model makes Musselburgh Athletic the favourite at 53%, against 21% for a draw and 26% for Stirling University. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Stirling University vs Musselburgh Athletic?
Musselburgh Athletic starts as the favourite with a 191-point Elo edge (1,593 vs 1,403).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stirling University have 2 wins, 2 draws and 11 defeats; Musselburgh Athletic have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Cowdenbeath(away) | 2-4 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Berwick Rangers(away) | 2-3 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Tranent Juniors(home) | 1-2 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | East Stirlingshire(away) | 0-2 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Broxburn Athletic(home) | 0-1 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bo'ness United(home) | 2-2 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Linlithgow Rose(home) | 0-2 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lochee United(away) | 1-2 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Dunipace(away) | 3-1 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic(home) | 0-3 | Football League - Lowland League |
How many goals should we expect?
Stirling University score 0.7 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Musselburgh Athletic score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 73% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stirling University | 0.7 | 2.3 | 2 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Musselburgh Athletic | 1.7 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Stirling University sit 33rd in Football League - Lowland League (0 points from 5 matches) and Musselburgh Athletic sit 23rd (4 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Musselburgh Athletic | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 4 |
| 33 | Stirling University | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Stirling University vs Musselburgh Athletic?
- The Footlab model makes Musselburgh Athletic the favourite at 53%, against 21% for a draw and 26% for Stirling University.
- Where and when is Stirling University vs Musselburgh Athletic played?
- Stirling University vs Musselburgh Athletic is played on December 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Forthbank Stadium, in the Football League - Lowland League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jul 25, 2026Auchinleck Talbot6-0Dalbeattie Star
- Jul 25, 2026Hill Of Beath Hawthorn1-2East Stirlingshire
- Jul 25, 2026Linlithgow Rose1-1Civil Service Strollers
- Jul 25, 2026Lochee United1-1Berwick Rangers
- Jul 25, 2026Gretna 20082-3Caledonian Braves
- Jul 25, 2026Stirling University0-1Broxburn Athletic
- Jul 25, 2026Bo'ness United1-2Tranent Juniors
- Jul 25, 2026Cowdenbeath0-1Gala Fairydean Rovers