Stockholm Internazionale vs Hammarby FF: prediction and stats
Svenska CupenFinalKick-off on August 26, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC)Hammarby IP, Stockholm
The Footlab model makes Hammarby FF the favourite at 65%, against 19% for a draw and 16% for Stockholm Internazionale. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Stockholm Internazionale vs Hammarby FF?
Hammarby FF starts as the favourite with a 185-point Elo edge (1,978 vs 1,793).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stockholm Internazionale have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Hammarby FF have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Järfälla(home) | 2-0 | Ettan - Norra |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Arlanda(home) | 4-1 | Ettan - Norra |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Vasalund(away) | 0-2 | Ettan - Norra |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Järfälla(away) | 4-0 | Ettan - Norra |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Enköping(home) | 2-0 | Ettan - Norra |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Gais(home) | 2-0 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Kalmar FF(away) | 4-0 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Raków Częstochowa(home) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | BK Hacken(home) | 3-0 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Raków Częstochowa(away) | 0-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Stockholm Internazionale win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Hammarby FF win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2025 | Stockholm Internazionale 0-3 Hammarby FF | Svenska Cupen |
Last archived meeting: Stockholm Internazionale vs Hammarby FF on Feb 22, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Stockholm Internazionale score 2.3 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Hammarby FF score 1.8 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stockholm Internazionale | 2.3 | 1.0 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Hammarby FF | 1.8 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hammarby FF | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 1 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Stockholm Internazionale vs Hammarby FF?
- The Footlab model makes Hammarby FF the favourite at 65%, against 19% for a draw and 16% for Stockholm Internazionale.
- Where and when is Stockholm Internazionale vs Hammarby FF played?
- Stockholm Internazionale vs Hammarby FF is played on August 26, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC) at Hammarby IP, in the Svenska Cupen.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.