Stockport County vs Milton Keynes Dons: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 20Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Edgeley Park, Stockport, Greater Manchester
The Footlab model makes Stockport County the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Milton Keynes Dons. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Stockport County vs Milton Keynes Dons?
A very open match: only 95 Elo points separate Stockport County (1,930) and Milton Keynes Dons (1,836).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stockport County have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Milton Keynes Dons have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Blackpool(home) | 1-2 | League One |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Everton U21(home) | 6-3 | EFL Trophy |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Plymouth(away) | 3-1 | League One |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Doncaster(home) | 1-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Preston(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Huddersfield(home) | 1-1 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Oxford United(away) | 2-2 | League One |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Norwich(away) | 1-4 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Cheltenham(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Barnet(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Stockport County win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Milton Keynes Dons win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2024 | Stockport County 5-0 Milton Keynes Dons | League Two |
| Sep 16, 2023 | Milton Keynes Dons 1-2 Stockport County | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Stockport County vs Milton Keynes Dons on Mar 23, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Stockport County score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Milton Keynes Dons score 1.4 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stockport County | 1.9 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Milton Keynes Dons | 1.4 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Stockport County sit 9th in League One (3 points from 2 matches) and Milton Keynes Dons sit 14th (2 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Stockport County | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| 14 | Milton Keynes Dons | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Stockport County vs Milton Keynes Dons?
- The Footlab model makes Stockport County the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Milton Keynes Dons.
- Where and when is Stockport County vs Milton Keynes Dons played?
- Stockport County vs Milton Keynes Dons is played on December 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Edgeley Park, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.