Brighton U21 vs Paris Saint-Germain U21: prediction and stats
Premier League International CupGroup StageKick-off on September 16, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC)American Express Elite Football Performance Centre, Lancing, West Sussex
The Footlab model makes Brighton U21 the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for Paris Saint-Germain U21. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Brighton U21 vs Paris Saint-Germain U21?
Brighton U21 starts as the favourite with a 102-point Elo edge (1,889 vs 1,788).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Brighton U21 have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Paris Saint-Germain U21 have 2, 1 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Aston Villa U21(away) | 1-2 | Premier League 2 Division One |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Northampton(away) | 3-0 | EFL Trophy |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Millwall U21(home) | 2-0 | Premier League Cup |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Worthing(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 16, 2026 | Manchester United U21(home) | 1-0 | Premier League 2 Division One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2026 | Nottingham Forest U21(away) | 0-2 | Premier League International Cup |
| Dec 14, 2025 | Brighton U21(away) | 2-2 | Premier League International Cup |
| Dec 3, 2025 | Chelsea U21(away) | 3-1 | Premier League International Cup |
| Nov 21, 2025 | Newcastle United U21(away) | 2-0 | Premier League International Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Brighton U21 win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Paris Saint-Germain U21 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2025 | Brighton U21 2-2 Paris Saint-Germain U21 | Premier League International Cup |
Last archived meeting: Brighton U21 vs Paris Saint-Germain U21 on Dec 14, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Brighton U21 score 2.2 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Paris Saint-Germain U21 score 1.8 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brighton U21 | 2.2 | 1.0 | 7 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Paris Saint-Germain U21 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 1 | 2/4 | 2/4 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Brighton U21 vs Paris Saint-Germain U21?
- The Footlab model makes Brighton U21 the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for Paris Saint-Germain U21.
- Where and when is Brighton U21 vs Paris Saint-Germain U21 played?
- Brighton U21 vs Paris Saint-Germain U21 is played on September 16, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC) at American Express Elite Football Performance Centre, in the Premier League International Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 19, 2026Sunderland U211-1Jong PSV U21
- Aug 26, 2026Fulham U21vsBorussia Dortmund II
- Sep 2, 2026Aston Villa U21vsBrondby U21
- Sep 2, 2026Crystal Palace U21vsParis Saint-Germain U21
- Sep 2, 2026Everton U21vsMilan II
- Sep 15, 2026Tottenham Hotspur U21vsDinamo Zagreb U21
- Sep 15, 2026Aston Villa U21vsReal Sociedad II
- Sep 16, 2026Stoke City U21vsBorussia M'gladbach II