Match

Brighton U21 vs Paris Saint-Germain U21: prediction and stats

Premier League International CupGroup StageKick-off on September 16, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC)American Express Elite Football Performance Centre, Lancing, West Sussex

Brighton U21Paris Saint-Germain U21

The Footlab model makes Brighton U21 the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for Paris Saint-Germain U21. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Brighton U21 vs Paris Saint-Germain U21?

Brighton U21 starts as the favourite with a 102-point Elo edge (1,889 vs 1,788).

Brighton U21 win39 %
Draw24 %
Paris Saint-Germain U21 win37 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Brighton U21 have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Paris Saint-Germain U21 have 2, 1 and 1.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Brighton U21
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Aston Villa U21(away)1-2Premier League 2 Division One
Aug 18, 2026Northampton(away)3-0EFL Trophy
Aug 14, 2026Millwall U21(home)2-0Premier League Cup
Jul 28, 2026Worthing(away)1-2Friendlies Clubs
May 16, 2026Manchester United U21(home)1-0Premier League 2 Division One
Paris Saint-Germain U21
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jan 19, 2026Nottingham Forest U21(away)0-2Premier League International Cup
Dec 14, 2025Brighton U21(away)2-2Premier League International Cup
Dec 3, 2025Chelsea U21(away)3-1Premier League International Cup
Nov 21, 2025Newcastle United U21(away)2-0Premier League International Cup

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Brighton U21 win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Paris Saint-Germain U21 win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Dec 14, 2025Brighton U21 2-2 Paris Saint-Germain U21Premier League International Cup

Last archived meeting: Brighton U21 vs Paris Saint-Germain U21 on Dec 14, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Brighton U21 score 2.2 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Paris Saint-Germain U21 score 1.8 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Brighton U212.21.078/1511/15
Paris Saint-Germain U211.81.312/42/4

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Brighton U21 vs Paris Saint-Germain U21?
The Footlab model makes Brighton U21 the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for Paris Saint-Germain U21.
Where and when is Brighton U21 vs Paris Saint-Germain U21 played?
Brighton U21 vs Paris Saint-Germain U21 is played on September 16, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC) at American Express Elite Football Performance Centre, in the Premier League International Cup.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Brighton U21 and Paris Saint-Germain U21

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