Stoke City vs Derby: result 1-0 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 38Kick-off on March 20, 2021 at 03:00 PM (UTC)bet365 Stadium, Stoke-on-Trent, Staffordshire
Full time
What was the result of Stoke City vs Derby?
Stoke City won 1-0 on March 20, 2021.
Goalscorers
- 74′J. BrownStoke City
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stoke City have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Derby have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2021 | Cardiff(away) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Mar 13, 2021 | Middlesbrough(away) | 0-3 | Championship |
| Mar 6, 2021 | Wycombe(home) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Mar 3, 2021 | Swansea(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Feb 27, 2021 | Brentford(away) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2021 | Brentford(home) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Mar 13, 2021 | Millwall(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Mar 10, 2021 | Barnsley(away) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Mar 6, 2021 | Coventry(away) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Mar 2, 2021 | Cardiff(away) | 0-4 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Stoke City win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Derby win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2020 | Derby 0-0 Stoke City | Championship |
| Jan 31, 2020 | Derby 4-0 Stoke City | Championship |
| Aug 17, 2019 | Stoke City 2-2 Derby | Championship |
| Mar 13, 2019 | Derby 0-0 Stoke City | Championship |
| Nov 28, 2018 | Stoke City 2-1 Derby | Championship |
| Jan 28, 2012 | Derby 0-2 Stoke City | FA Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Stoke City score 1.0 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Derby score 0.9 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stoke City | 1.0 | 1.6 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Derby | 0.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Stoke City sit 21st in Championship (0 points from 2 matches) and Derby sit 16th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Derby | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
| 21 | Stoke City | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy