Stonava vs Frýdlant: prediction and stats
4. liga - Divizie FDivision F - 10Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Stonava the favourite at 71%, against 16% for a draw and 13% for Frýdlant. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Stonava vs Frýdlant?
Stonava starts as the favourite with a 163-point Elo edge (1,691 vs 1,528).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stonava have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Frýdlant have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Šumperk(away) | 3-0 | 4. liga - Divizie F |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kravare(home) | 1-2 | 4. liga - Divizie F |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Nový Jičín(away) | 2-2 | 4. liga - Divizie F |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Polanka nad Odrou(home) | 1-1 | Cup |
| Jun 12, 2026 | Havířov(home) | 4-2 | 4. liga - Divizie F |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kravare(away) | 2-7 | 4. liga - Divizie F |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Nový Jičín(home) | 0-1 | 4. liga - Divizie F |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Opava(home) | 1-1 | Cup |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Pustá Polom(away) | 0-3 | 4. liga - Divizie F |
| Jul 26, 2026 | TJ Bystrice(away) | 2-1 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Stonava win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Frýdlant win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 8, 2026 | Frýdlant 1-3 Stonava | 4. liga - Divizie F |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Stonava 1-1 Frýdlant | 4. liga - Divizie F |
How many goals should we expect?
Stonava score 1.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Frýdlant score 1.3 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 77% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stonava | 1.9 | 1.5 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Frýdlant | 1.3 | 2.3 | 1 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Stonava sit 11th in 4. liga - Divizie F (1 points from 2 matches) and Frýdlant sit 16th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Stonava | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 4 |
| 11 | Stonava | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
| 16 | Frýdlant | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 | Frýdlant | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Stonava vs Frýdlant?
- The Footlab model makes Stonava the favourite at 71%, against 16% for a draw and 13% for Frýdlant.
- Where and when is Stonava vs Frýdlant played?
- Stonava vs Frýdlant is played on October 3, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the 4. liga - Divizie F.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 77% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.