Hlučín vs Nový Jičín: prediction and stats
4. liga - Divizie FDivision F - 10Kick-off on October 4, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Městský fotbalový stadion Hlučín, Hlučín
The Footlab model makes Hlučín the favourite at 53%, against 22% for a draw and 25% for Nový Jičín. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hlučín vs Nový Jičín?
Hlučín starts as the favourite with a 108-point Elo edge (1,650 vs 1,541).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hlučín have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Nový Jičín have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Břidličná(home) | 4-0 | 4. liga - Divizie F |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Jiskra Rýmařov(away) | 2-1 | 4. liga - Divizie F |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Bospor Bohumín(home) | 0-2 | 4. liga - Divizie F |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Břidličná(away) | 0-1 | Cup |
| Jun 12, 2026 | Vrchovina(away) | 2-1 | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Opava II(home) | 2-5 | 4. liga - Divizie F |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Frýdlant(away) | 1-0 | 4. liga - Divizie F |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Stonava(home) | 2-2 | 4. liga - Divizie F |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Belotin(away) | 0-4 | Cup |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Zabreh(away) | 2-7 | 4. liga - Divizie F |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Hlučín win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Nový Jičín win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 12, 2021 | Hlučín 6-0 Nový Jičín | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Hlučín score 1.4 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Nový Jičín score 1.2 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hlučín | 1.4 | 1.6 | 3 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Nový Jičín | 1.2 | 1.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hlučín sit 10th in 4. liga - Divizie F (3 points from 2 matches) and Nový Jičín sit 5th (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Nový Jičín | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 6 | Hlučín | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 6 |
| 10 | Hlučín | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| 10 | Nový Jičín | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hlučín vs Nový Jičín?
- The Footlab model makes Hlučín the favourite at 53%, against 22% for a draw and 25% for Nový Jičín.
- Where and when is Hlučín vs Nový Jičín played?
- Hlučín vs Nový Jičín is played on October 4, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Městský fotbalový stadion Hlučín, in the 4. liga - Divizie F.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.