Stranraer vs Ayr Utd: result 1-5 and analysis
League OneRegular Season - 20Kick-off on January 2, 2018 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stair Park, Stranraer
Full time
What was the result of Stranraer vs Ayr Utd?
Ayr Utd won 1-5 on January 2, 2018.
Goalscorers
- 8′L. ShanklandAyr Utd
- 39′M. MoffatAyr Utd
- 49′A. ForrestAyr Utd
- 53′L. ShanklandAyr Utd
- 63′A. ForrestAyr Utd
- 80′K. TurnerStranraer
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stranraer have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Ayr Utd have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 30, 2017 | Raith Rovers(away) | 0-3 | League One |
| Dec 23, 2017 | Alloa Athletic(away) | 0-1 | League One |
| Dec 19, 2017 | Albion Rovers(home) | 2-2 | League One |
| Dec 16, 2017 | Forfar Athletic(home) | 3-0 | League One |
| Dec 9, 2017 | East Fife(away) | 1-1 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 30, 2017 | Forfar Athletic(home) | 2-3 | League One |
| Dec 23, 2017 | Airdrie United(away) | 0-2 | League One |
| Dec 16, 2017 | East Fife(away) | 4-1 | League One |
| Dec 9, 2017 | Queen's Park(home) | 3-2 | League One |
| Dec 2, 2017 | Albion Rovers(home) | 3-2 | League One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Stranraer win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Ayr Utd win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2017 | Ayr Utd 2-0 Stranraer | League One |
| Aug 19, 2017 | Stranraer 3-4 Ayr Utd | League One |
| Mar 26, 2016 | Ayr Utd 2-1 Stranraer | League One |
| Jan 2, 2016 | Stranraer 1-0 Ayr Utd | League One |
| Oct 31, 2015 | Ayr Utd 3-1 Stranraer | League One |
| Aug 22, 2015 | Stranraer 1-2 Ayr Utd | League One |
How many goals should we expect?
Stranraer score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Ayr Utd score 2.6 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stranraer | 1.7 | 1.5 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Ayr Utd | 2.6 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy