Strømsgodset II vs Finnsnes: prediction and stats
3. Division - Girone 5Regular Season - 18Kick-off on September 6, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC)Marienlyst Stadion, Drammen
The Footlab model makes Strømsgodset II the favourite at 44%, against 21% for a draw and 35% for Finnsnes. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Strømsgodset II vs Finnsnes?
A very open match: only 61 Elo points separate Strømsgodset II (1,527) and Finnsnes (1,588).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Strømsgodset II have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Finnsnes have 10, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Skedsmo(home) | 0-1 | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Kongsvinger II(away) | 3-2 | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Tromsø II(home) | 0-2 | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Finnsnes(away) | 1-2 | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
| Jun 28, 2026 | Skjervøy(home) | 5-1 | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Fauske Sprint(away) | 3-1 | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bossekop(home) | 2-3 | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Skedsmo(away) | 1-0 | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Strømsgodset II(home) | 2-1 | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
| Jun 28, 2026 | Alta(away) | 0-3 | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Strømsgodset II win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Finnsnes win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 25, 2026 | Finnsnes 2-1 Strømsgodset II | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
Last archived meeting: Finnsnes vs Strømsgodset II on Jul 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Strømsgodset II score 2.0 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Finnsnes score 2.1 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 78% probability of over 2.5 goals and 77% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strømsgodset II | 2.0 | 2.1 | 1 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
| Finnsnes | 2.1 | 1.4 | 4 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Strømsgodset II sit 9th in 3. Division - Girone 5 (20 points from 16 matches) and Finnsnes sit 2nd (32 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Finnsnes | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 34 | 23 | 32 |
| 9 | Strømsgodset II | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 30 | 34 | 20 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Strømsgodset II vs Finnsnes?
- The Footlab model makes Strømsgodset II the favourite at 44%, against 21% for a draw and 35% for Finnsnes.
- Where and when is Strømsgodset II vs Finnsnes played?
- Strømsgodset II vs Finnsnes is played on September 6, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC) at Marienlyst Stadion, in the 3. Division - Girone 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 78% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.