Ulfstind vs Fauske Sprint: prediction and stats
3. Division - Girone 5Regular Season - 18Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)TUIL Arena, Tromsø
The Footlab model makes Ulfstind the favourite at 44%, against 20% for a draw and 35% for Fauske Sprint. The most likely score is 2-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ulfstind vs Fauske Sprint?
A very open match: only 69 Elo points separate Ulfstind (1,505) and Fauske Sprint (1,574).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ulfstind have 3 wins, 1 draws and 11 defeats; Fauske Sprint have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Tromso(home) | 0-5 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Skjetten(home) | 4-2 | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Fløya(away) | 0-7 | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Skjervøy(home) | 1-3 | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Tromsø II(away) | 3-1 | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Finnsnes(home) | 1-3 | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Skedsmo(away) | 3-5 | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Skjetten(home) | 4-5 | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Harstad(away) | 1-10 | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Fløya(home) | 3-1 | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Ulfstind win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Fauske Sprint win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2026 | Fauske Sprint 3-3 Ulfstind | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
Last archived meeting: Fauske Sprint vs Ulfstind on Apr 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ulfstind score 1.5 and concede 3.5 goals per match over their last 15; Fauske Sprint score 2.6 and concede 3.4. The model gives a 81% probability of over 2.5 goals and 79% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ulfstind | 1.5 | 3.5 | 1 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
| Fauske Sprint | 2.6 | 3.4 | 0 | 15/15 | 15/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ulfstind sit 13th in 3. Division - Girone 5 (14 points from 16 matches) and Fauske Sprint sit 7th (22 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Fauske Sprint | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 42 | 54 | 22 |
| 13 | Ulfstind | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 30 | 52 | 14 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ulfstind vs Fauske Sprint?
- The Footlab model makes Ulfstind the favourite at 44%, against 20% for a draw and 35% for Fauske Sprint.
- Where and when is Ulfstind vs Fauske Sprint played?
- Ulfstind vs Fauske Sprint is played on September 5, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at TUIL Arena, in the 3. Division - Girone 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 81% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.