Sturm Graz vs Fenerbahçe: result 0-1 and analysis
UEFA Champions League3rd Qualifying RoundKick-off on August 11, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC)Merkur Arena, Graz
Full time
What was the result of Sturm Graz vs Fenerbahçe?
Fenerbahçe won 0-1 on August 11, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 66′TaliscaFenerbahçe (pen.)
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab model gave a Fenerbahçe win at 50%: prediction correct. Most likely score announced: 1-1 — actual score: 0-1.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sturm Graz have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Fenerbahçe have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | TSV Hartberg(away) | 2-0 | Bundesliga |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Fenerbahçe(away) | 0-2 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | WSG Wattens(away) | 1-1 | Bundesliga |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Heart Of Midlothian(away) | 2-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Seekirchen(away) | 3-0 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2026 | Sturm Graz(home) | 2-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Gornik Zabrze(away) | 1-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Gornik Zabrze(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Jul 14, 2026 | Lask Linz(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Pogon Szczecin(home) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Sturm Graz win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Fenerbahçe win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2026 | Fenerbahçe 2-0 Sturm Graz | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 3, 2017 | Fenerbahçe 1-1 Sturm Graz | UEFA Europa League |
| Jul 27, 2017 | Sturm Graz 1-2 Fenerbahçe | UEFA Europa League |
Last archived meeting: Fenerbahçe vs Sturm Graz on Aug 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sturm Graz score 2.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Fenerbahçe score 2.3 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sturm Graz | 2.5 | 1.1 | 7 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Fenerbahçe | 2.3 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Sturm Graz | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 6 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 4, 2026Ararat-Armenia2-1Celje
- Aug 4, 2026Mjallby AIF1-2Slovan Bratislava
- Aug 4, 2026Hapoel Beer Sheva1-0FK Crvena Zvezda
- Aug 4, 2026Levski Sofia1-0Kairat Almaty
- Aug 4, 2026Union St. Gilloise3-3Bodo/Glimt
- Aug 4, 2026Dinamo Zagreb5-0Kauno Žalgiris
- Aug 4, 2026Sparta Praha2-1Lyon
- Aug 4, 2026Olympiakos Piraeus0-0NEC Nijmegen