Sturm Graz vs Heart Of Midlothian: result 4-0 and analysis
UEFA Champions League2nd Qualifying RoundKick-off on July 21, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC)Merkur Arena, Graz
Full time
What was the result of Sturm Graz vs Heart Of Midlothian?
Sturm Graz won 4-0 on July 21, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 4′J. Gorenc StankovičSturm Graz
- 38′?Sturm Graz
- 50′J. MitchellSturm Graz
- 53′Luca WeinhandlSturm Graz
- 59′J. HeilSturm Graz
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab model gave a Sturm Graz win at 49%: prediction correct. Most likely score announced: 1-0. Actual score: 4-0.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sturm Graz have 7 wins, 7 draws and 1 defeats; Heart Of Midlothian have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 15, 2026 | Pogon Szczecin(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima(home) | 5-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 8, 2026 | Kalsdorf(home) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 3, 2026 | FK Košice(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 30, 2026 | LNZ Cherkasy(home) | 2-6 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 17, 2026 | Rayo Vallecano(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 16, 2026 | Celtic(away) | 1-3 | Premiership |
| May 13, 2026 | Falkirk(home) | 3-0 | Premiership |
| May 9, 2026 | Motherwell(away) | 1-1 | Premiership |
| May 4, 2026 | Rangers(home) | 2-1 | Premiership |
How many goals should we expect?
Sturm Graz score 2.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Heart Of Midlothian score 1.5 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sturm Graz | 2.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
| Heart Of Midlothian | 1.5 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Sturm Graz | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 6 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Other matches in the same round
- Jul 21, 2026Mjallby AIF3-0Lincoln Red Imps FC
- Jul 21, 2026Saburtalo0-2Slovan Bratislava
- Jul 21, 2026Ararat-Armenia2-0Shamrock Rovers
- Jul 21, 2026Sabah FA1-0KuPS
- Jul 21, 2026Aarhus1-4Lech Poznan
- Jul 21, 2026Fenerbahçe1-0Gornik Zabrze
- Jul 21, 2026FC Thun1-1Dinamo Zagreb
- Jul 21, 2026KI Klaksvik0-0Kauno Žalgiris