Match

1899 Hoffenheim vs Sturm Graz: prediction and stats

UEFA Europa LeagueLeague Stage - 5Kick-off on November 26, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)PreZero Arena, Sinsheim

1899 HoffenheimSturm Graz

The Footlab AI model makes 1899 Hoffenheim the favourite at 59%, against 23% for a draw and 18% for Sturm Graz. The most likely score is 1-1. If 1899 Hoffenheim wins, the most likely score is 2-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,793 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win 1899 Hoffenheim vs Sturm Graz?

On Elo ratings, 1899 Hoffenheim has 2,106 points and Sturm Graz 2,094.

59%23%18%
1899 Hoffenheim winDrawSturm Graz win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for 1899 Hoffenheim vs Sturm Graz

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

1899 Hoffenheim

4-2-3-1
  1. 10A. Hložek
  1. 7L. Avdullahu
  2. 11F. Asllani
  3. 18W. Burger
  4. 14A. Daghim
  5. 20B. Conté
  1. 34V. Coufal
  2. 28K. Machida
  3. 5O. Kabak
  4. 13Bernardo
  1. 1O. Baumann

Sturm Graz

5-3-2
  1. 19S. Seidl
  2. 26B. Beganović
  1. 4J. Gorenc Stankovič
  2. 78V. Matoshi
  3. 43Jacob Peter Hödl
  1. 2J. Quarshie
  2. 28J. Heil
  3. 27L. Balbo
  4. 23A. Malic
  5. 30P. Koller
  1. 53D. Khudyakov

Computed on October 18, 2026 at 11:11 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, 1899 Hoffenheim have 7 wins, 0 draws and 8 defeats; Sturm Graz have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

1899 Hoffenheim
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Borussia Mönchengladbach(away)2-1Bundesliga
Oct 15, 2026Beşiktaş(home)2-3UEFA Europa League
Oct 10, 2026Hamburger SV(home)2-3Bundesliga
Sep 20, 2026SC Paderborn 07(away)1-3Bundesliga
Sep 17, 2026OFI(away)0-2UEFA Europa League
Sturm Graz
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Grazer AK(home)6-1Bundesliga
Oct 15, 2026Bournemouth(away)0-3UEFA Europa League
Oct 10, 2026Austria Vienna(away)2-0Bundesliga
Oct 2, 2026Floridsdorfer AC(home)3-1Friendlies Clubs
Sep 20, 2026Red Bull Salzburg(away)0-3Bundesliga

How many goals should we expect?

1899 Hoffenheim score 1.8 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Sturm Graz score 1.5 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
1899 Hoffenheim1.81.848/1513/15
Sturm Graz1.51.247/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

1899 Hoffenheim sit 30th in UEFA Europa League (0 points from 2 matches) and Sturm Graz sit 26th (1 point from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
26Sturm Graz2011031
301899 Hoffenheim2002250

A question about 1899 Hoffenheim vs Sturm Graz?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for 1899 Hoffenheim vs Sturm Graz?
The Footlab AI model makes 1899 Hoffenheim the favourite at 59%, against 23% for a draw and 18% for Sturm Graz.
Where and when is 1899 Hoffenheim vs Sturm Graz played?
1899 Hoffenheim vs Sturm Graz is played on November 26, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at PreZero Arena, in the UEFA Europa League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: 1899 Hoffenheim and Sturm Graz

Ready to know everything about football?