Sturm Graz vs Lille: result 0-3 and analysis
UEFA Europa Conference LeagueRound of 16Kick-off on March 7, 2024 at 05:45 PM (UTC)Merkur Arena, Graz
Full time
What was the result of Sturm Graz vs Lille?
Lille won 0-3 on March 7, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 28′J. DavidLille
- 51′J. DavidLille
- 71′E. ZhegrovaLille
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sturm Graz have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Lille have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2024 | Wolfsberger AC(home) | 4-0 | Bundesliga |
| Feb 25, 2024 | WSG Wattens(away) | 2-0 | Bundesliga |
| Feb 22, 2024 | Slovan Bratislava(away) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Feb 18, 2024 | Rapid Vienna(home) | 1-1 | Bundesliga |
| Feb 15, 2024 | Slovan Bratislava(home) | 4-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2024 | Reims(away) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Feb 25, 2024 | Toulouse(away) | 1-3 | Ligue 1 |
| Feb 17, 2024 | Le Havre(home) | 3-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Feb 10, 2024 | Paris Saint Germain(away) | 1-3 | Ligue 1 |
| Feb 7, 2024 | Lyon(away) | 1-2 | Coupe de France |
How many goals should we expect?
Sturm Graz score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Lille score 2.3 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sturm Graz | 1.5 | 1.1 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Lille | 2.3 | 0.7 | 10 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy