Stuttgart II vs MSV Duisburg: prediction and stats
3. LigaRegular Season - 31Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)WIRmachenDRUCK Arena, Aspach
The Footlab model makes MSV Duisburg the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for Stuttgart II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Stuttgart II vs MSV Duisburg?
MSV Duisburg starts as the favourite with a 181-point Elo edge (2,032 vs 1,851).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stuttgart II have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; MSV Duisburg have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | FC Viktoria Köln(home) | 1-3 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Havelse(away) | 3-2 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FC Astoria Walldorf(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | SSV Ulm 1846(away) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Normannia Gmünd(away) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | SV Elversberg(home) | 1-3 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Verl(away) | 4-2 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | SV Meppen(home) | 3-0 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Sparta Rotterdam(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Arminia Bielefeld(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Stuttgart II win(s), 3 draw(s), 3 MSV Duisburg win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2026 | Stuttgart II 0-4 MSV Duisburg | 3. Liga |
| Aug 2, 2025 | MSV Duisburg 2-1 Stuttgart II | 3. Liga |
| Apr 12, 2015 | Stuttgart II 1-2 MSV Duisburg | 3. Liga |
| Oct 4, 2014 | MSV Duisburg 1-1 Stuttgart II | 3. Liga |
| Apr 4, 2014 | MSV Duisburg 0-0 Stuttgart II | 3. Liga |
| Oct 26, 2013 | Stuttgart II 1-1 MSV Duisburg | 3. Liga |
Last archived meeting: Stuttgart II vs MSV Duisburg on Jan 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Stuttgart II score 2.3 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; MSV Duisburg score 1.8 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stuttgart II | 2.3 | 1.9 | 3 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
| MSV Duisburg | 1.8 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Stuttgart II sit 11th in 3. Liga (3 points from 2 matches) and MSV Duisburg sit 1st (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MSV Duisburg | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 6 |
| 11 | Stuttgart II | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Stuttgart II vs MSV Duisburg?
- The Footlab model makes MSV Duisburg the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for Stuttgart II.
- Where and when is Stuttgart II vs MSV Duisburg played?
- Stuttgart II vs MSV Duisburg is played on April 3, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at WIRmachenDRUCK Arena, in the 3. Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 3, 2027FC Ingolstadt 04vsHavelse
- Apr 3, 2027Würzburger KickersvsFortuna Köln
- Apr 3, 2027Preußen MünstervsAlemannia Aachen
- Apr 3, 2027SV MeppenvsFortuna Düsseldorf
- Apr 3, 2027SV WehenvsVerl
- Apr 3, 2027Hansa RostockvsSSV Jahn Regensburg
- Apr 3, 2027FC Viktoria KölnvsHoffenheim II
- Apr 3, 2027Rot-Weiß EssenvsSG Sonnenhof Grossaspach