MSV Duisburg vs Preußen Münster: prediction and stats
3. LigaRegular Season - 32Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Schauinsland-Reisen-Arena, Duisburg
The Footlab model makes MSV Duisburg the favourite at 60%, against 21% for a draw and 19% for Preußen Münster. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win MSV Duisburg vs Preußen Münster?
MSV Duisburg starts as the favourite with a 154-point Elo edge (2,032 vs 1,878).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, MSV Duisburg have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Preußen Münster have 2, 5 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | SV Elversberg(home) | 1-3 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Verl(away) | 4-2 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | SV Meppen(home) | 3-0 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Sparta Rotterdam(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Arminia Bielefeld(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Karlsruher SC(home) | 1-2 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FC Ingolstadt 04(home) | 1-1 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | SV Wehen(away) | 3-1 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Southampton(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 17, 2026 | SSV Jeddeloh(away) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 MSV Duisburg win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Preußen Münster win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2024 | Preußen Münster 3-1 MSV Duisburg | 3. Liga |
| Sep 30, 2023 | MSV Duisburg 0-0 Preußen Münster | 3. Liga |
| Jul 13, 2021 | MSV Duisburg 2-3 Preußen Münster | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2020 | MSV Duisburg 1-0 Preußen Münster | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 1, 2020 | Preußen Münster 1-4 MSV Duisburg | 3. Liga |
| Jul 31, 2019 | MSV Duisburg 2-0 Preußen Münster | 3. Liga |
Last archived meeting: Preußen Münster vs MSV Duisburg on Feb 23, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
MSV Duisburg score 1.8 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Preußen Münster score 1.2 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSV Duisburg | 1.8 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Preußen Münster | 1.2 | 2.1 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
MSV Duisburg sit 1st in 3. Liga (6 points from 2 matches) and Preußen Münster sit 5th (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MSV Duisburg | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 6 |
| 5 | Preußen Münster | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for MSV Duisburg vs Preußen Münster?
- The Footlab model makes MSV Duisburg the favourite at 60%, against 21% for a draw and 19% for Preußen Münster.
- Where and when is MSV Duisburg vs Preußen Münster played?
- MSV Duisburg vs Preußen Münster is played on April 10, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Schauinsland-Reisen-Arena, in the 3. Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Apr 10, 2027SSV Jahn RegensburgvsSV Meppen
- Apr 10, 2027SG Sonnenhof GrossaspachvsHansa Rostock
- Apr 10, 2027Fortuna KölnvsWaldhof Mannheim
- Apr 10, 2027FC SaarbrückenvsFC Viktoria Köln
- Apr 10, 2027Alemannia AachenvsRot-Weiß Essen
- Apr 10, 2027VerlvsStuttgart II
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