MSV Duisburg vs Stuttgart II: prediction and stats
3. LigaRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Schauinsland-Reisen-Arena, Duisburg
The Footlab model makes MSV Duisburg the favourite at 64%, against 19% for a draw and 17% for Stuttgart II. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win MSV Duisburg vs Stuttgart II?
MSV Duisburg starts as the favourite with a 181-point Elo edge (2,034 vs 1,853).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, MSV Duisburg have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Stuttgart II have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | SV Elversberg(home) | 1-3 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Verl(away) | 4-2 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | SV Meppen(home) | 3-0 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Sparta Rotterdam(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Arminia Bielefeld(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | FC Viktoria Köln(home) | 1-3 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Havelse(away) | 3-2 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FC Astoria Walldorf(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | SSV Ulm 1846(away) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Normannia Gmünd(away) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 MSV Duisburg win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Stuttgart II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2026 | Stuttgart II 0-4 MSV Duisburg | 3. Liga |
| Aug 2, 2025 | MSV Duisburg 2-1 Stuttgart II | 3. Liga |
| Apr 12, 2015 | Stuttgart II 1-2 MSV Duisburg | 3. Liga |
| Oct 4, 2014 | MSV Duisburg 1-1 Stuttgart II | 3. Liga |
| Apr 4, 2014 | MSV Duisburg 0-0 Stuttgart II | 3. Liga |
| Oct 26, 2013 | Stuttgart II 1-1 MSV Duisburg | 3. Liga |
Last archived meeting: Stuttgart II vs MSV Duisburg on Jan 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
MSV Duisburg score 1.8 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Stuttgart II score 2.3 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSV Duisburg | 1.8 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Stuttgart II | 2.3 | 1.9 | 3 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
MSV Duisburg sit 1st in 3. Liga (6 points from 2 matches) and Stuttgart II sit 11th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MSV Duisburg | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 6 |
| 11 | Stuttgart II | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for MSV Duisburg vs Stuttgart II?
- The Footlab model makes MSV Duisburg the favourite at 64%, against 19% for a draw and 17% for Stuttgart II.
- Where and when is MSV Duisburg vs Stuttgart II played?
- MSV Duisburg vs Stuttgart II is played on October 31, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Schauinsland-Reisen-Arena, in the 3. Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 31, 2026Fortuna DüsseldorfvsSV Meppen
- Oct 31, 2026SSV Jahn RegensburgvsHansa Rostock
- Oct 31, 2026SG Sonnenhof GrossaspachvsRot-Weiß Essen
- Oct 31, 2026Fortuna KölnvsWürzburger Kickers
- Oct 31, 2026FC SaarbrückenvsWaldhof Mannheim
- Oct 31, 2026Alemannia AachenvsPreußen Münster
- Oct 31, 2026VerlvsSV Wehen
- Oct 31, 2026HavelsevsFC Ingolstadt 04