Ascoli vs Sudtirol: prediction and stats
Serie BRegular Season - 21Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca, Ascoli Piceno
The Footlab AI model makes Ascoli the favourite at 56%, against 25% for a draw and 19% for Sudtirol. The most likely score is 1-1. If Ascoli wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,401 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ascoli vs Sudtirol?
Ascoli starts as the favourite with a 124-point Elo edge (1,907 vs 1,783).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ascoli vs Sudtirol
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ascoli
4-2-3-1- 35G. Gori
- 62T. Milanese
- 15S. D'Uffizi
- 8G. Corradini
- 4S. Damiani
- 7A. Silipo
- 30M. Curado
- 19A. Guiébré
- 33N. Rizzo
- 14A. Oliveri
- 1S. Vitale
Sudtirol
5-4-1- 90A. Okoro
- 11Vasco Lopes
- 5S. Tronchin
- 10Fabio Rispoli
- 14A. Vasic
- 55A. Giorgini
- 4R. Stivanello
- 79S. Molina
- 27G. Stabile
- 24S. Davì
- 22A. Plizzari
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 05:51 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ascoli have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Sudtirol have 4, 8 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Sudtirol(away) | 0-0 | Serie B |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Avellino(home) | 3-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Padova(away) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Benevento(home) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Carrarese(home) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Ascoli(home) | 0-0 | Serie B |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Wacker Innsbruck(home) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Arezzo(away) | 4-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Genoa(away) | 0-1 | Coppa Italia |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Modena(home) | 1-1 | Serie B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Ascoli win, 2 draws, 2 Sudtirol wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Sudtirol 0-0 Ascoli | Serie B |
| Feb 4, 2024 | Ascoli 1-2 Sudtirol | Serie B |
| Sep 2, 2023 | Sudtirol 3-1 Ascoli | Serie B |
| Apr 15, 2023 | Ascoli 1-0 Sudtirol | Serie B |
| Nov 27, 2022 | Sudtirol 2-2 Ascoli | Serie B |
How many goals should we expect?
Ascoli score 1.5 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Sudtirol score 1.0 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ascoli | 1.5 | 1.0 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Sudtirol | 1.0 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ascoli sit 5th in Serie B (11 points from 6 matches) and Sudtirol sit 4th (12 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Sudtirol | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 12 |
| 5 | Ascoli | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 11 |
A question about Ascoli vs Sudtirol?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ascoli vs Sudtirol?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ascoli the favourite at 56%, against 25% for a draw and 19% for Sudtirol.
- Where and when is Ascoli vs Sudtirol played?
- Ascoli vs Sudtirol is played on January 16, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca, in the Serie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.