Sunderland vs Aston Villa: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 24Kick-off on February 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadium of Light, Sunderland
The Footlab AI model makes Sunderland the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Aston Villa. The most likely score is 1-1. If Sunderland wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 4,966 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sunderland vs Aston Villa?
On Elo ratings, Sunderland has 1,993 points and Aston Villa 2,172.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sunderland vs Aston Villa
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sunderland
4-2-3-1- 9B. Brobbey
- 34G. Xhaka
- 27N. Sadiki
- 28E. Le Fée
- 12T. Meunier
- 10N. Angulo
- 32T. Hume
- 17Reinildo
- 13L. O'Nien
- 20N. Mukiele
- 22R. Roefs
Aston Villa
4-2-3-1- 11N. Jackson
- 8B. Kamara
- 44J. Manzambi
- 7J. McGinn
- 35João Gomes
- 47Alysson Edward
- 3V. Lindelöf
- 2M. Cash
- 22I. Maatsen
- 14Pau Torres
- 1Z. Suzuki
Computed on November 8, 2026 at 04:50 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sunderland have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Aston Villa have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Chelsea(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Nov 5, 2026 | Dinamo Zagreb(home) | 0-2 | UEFA Europa League |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Coventry(away) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Brentford(home) | 3-2 | League Cup |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Leeds(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2026 | Barcelona(away) | 0-3 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Fulham(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Bournemouth(away) | 0-3 | League Cup |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Manchester City(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Viking(home) | 3-1 | UEFA Champions League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Sunderland win, 2 draws, 3 Aston Villa wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2026 | Aston Villa 4-3 Sunderland | Premier League |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Sunderland 1-1 Aston Villa | Premier League |
| Mar 6, 2018 | Sunderland 0-3 Aston Villa | Championship |
| Nov 21, 2017 | Aston Villa 2-1 Sunderland | Championship |
| Jan 2, 2016 | Sunderland 3-1 Aston Villa | Premier League |
| Aug 29, 2015 | Aston Villa 2-2 Sunderland | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Aston Villa vs Sunderland on Apr 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sunderland score 1.0 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Aston Villa score 1.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sunderland | 1.0 | 1.4 | 5 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Aston Villa | 1.9 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sunderland sit 20th in Premier League (5 points from 9 matches) and Aston Villa sit 12th (12 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Aston Villa | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 12 |
| 20 | Sunderland | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 17 | 5 |
A question about Sunderland vs Aston Villa?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sunderland vs Aston Villa?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sunderland the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Aston Villa.
- Where and when is Sunderland vs Aston Villa played?
- Sunderland vs Aston Villa is played on February 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadium of Light, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.