Sunderland vs Nottingham Forest: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 15Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadium of Light, Sunderland
The Footlab AI model makes Sunderland the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Nottingham Forest. The most likely score is 1-1. If Sunderland wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sunderland vs Nottingham Forest?
A very open match: only 45 Elo points separate Sunderland (2,098) and Nottingham Forest (2,143).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sunderland vs Nottingham Forest
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sunderland
4-2-3-1- 18W. Isidor
- 34G. Xhaka
- 28E. Le Fée
- 27N. Sadiki
- 10N. Angulo
- 12T. Meunier
- 20N. Mukiele
- 4K. Danso
- 17Reinildo
- 32T. Hume
- 22R. Roefs
Nottingham Forest
3-4-2-1- 19L. Delap
- 3N. Williams
- 10M. Gibbs-White
- 14D. Ndoye
- 24J. McAtee
- 21X. Schlager
- 27D. Muñoz
- 5Murillo
- 2O. Diomande
- 34O. Aina
- 26M. Sels
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 07:20 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sunderland have 8 wins, 1 draw and 6 defeats; Nottingham Forest have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Brighton(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Manchester City(away) | 3-5 | Premier League |
| Sep 16, 2026 | AZ Alkmaar(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Arsenal(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Hull City(home) | 1-0 | League Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Crystal Palace(away) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Coventry(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Aston Villa(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Tottenham(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Liverpool(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Sunderland wins, 1 draw, 2 Nottingham Forest wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2026 | Sunderland 0-5 Nottingham Forest | Premier League |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Nottingham Forest 0-1 Sunderland | Premier League |
| Jul 19, 2024 | Nottingham Forest 1-1 Sunderland | Friendlies Clubs |
| Dec 30, 2017 | Nottingham Forest 0-1 Sunderland | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2017 | Sunderland 0-1 Nottingham Forest | Championship |
Last archived meeting: Sunderland vs Nottingham Forest on Apr 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sunderland score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Nottingham Forest score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sunderland | 1.5 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Nottingham Forest | 1.1 | 1.3 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sunderland sit 17th in Premier League (4 points from 6 matches) and Nottingham Forest sit 15th (5 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Nottingham Forest | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 5 |
| 17 | Sunderland | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 4 |
A question about Sunderland vs Nottingham Forest?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sunderland vs Nottingham Forest?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sunderland the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Nottingham Forest.
- Where and when is Sunderland vs Nottingham Forest played?
- Sunderland vs Nottingham Forest is played on December 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadium of Light, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.