Crystal Palace vs Manchester United: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueMatchday 15Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Selhurst Park, London
The Footlab AI model makes Manchester United the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for Crystal Palace. The most likely score is 1-1. If Manchester United wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,760 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Crystal Palace vs Manchester United?
A very open match: only 84 Elo points separate Crystal Palace (1,993) and Manchester United (2,078).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Crystal Palace vs Manchester United
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Crystal Palace
3-4-2-1- 22J. Strand Larsen
- 3T. Mitchell
- 20A. Wharton
- 10Yeremy Pino
- 18D. Kamada
- 30Óscar Mingueza
- 23Q. Timber
- 26C. Richards
- 5A. Disasi
- 6J. Canvot
- 1D. Henderson
Manchester United
4-2-3-1- 19B. Mbeumo
- 16A. Diallo
- 8Bruno Fernandes
- 10Matheus Cunha
- 18Y. Tielemans
- 37K. Mainoo
- 5H. Maguire
- 2Diogo Dalot
- 15L. Yoro
- 3N. Mazraoui
- 1S. Lammens
Computed on November 13, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Crystal Palace have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Manchester United have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Liverpool(home) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Nov 5, 2026 | 1899 Hoffenheim(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Tottenham(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Fulham(away) | 1-0 | League Cup |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Newcastle(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Aston Villa(home) | 4-4 | Premier League |
| Nov 3, 2026 | AS Roma(home) | 3-2 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Chelsea(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Bournemouth(home) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Como(away) | 1-4 | UEFA Champions League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Crystal Palace wins, 1 draw, 2 Manchester United wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2026 | Manchester United 2-1 Crystal Palace | Premier League |
| Nov 30, 2025 | Crystal Palace 1-2 Manchester United | Premier League |
| Feb 2, 2025 | Manchester United 0-2 Crystal Palace | Premier League |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Crystal Palace 0-0 Manchester United | Premier League |
| May 6, 2024 | Crystal Palace 4-0 Manchester United | Premier League |
| Sep 30, 2023 | Manchester United 0-1 Crystal Palace | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Manchester United vs Crystal Palace on Mar 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Crystal Palace score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Manchester United score 1.6 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Palace | 1.5 | 1.7 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Manchester United | 1.6 | 2.0 | 1 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Crystal Palace sit 20th in Premier League (7 points from 10 matches) and Manchester United sit 18th (8 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Manchester United | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 19 | 8 |
| 20 | Crystal Palace | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 24 | 7 |
A question about Crystal Palace vs Manchester United?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Crystal Palace vs Manchester United?
- The Footlab AI model makes Manchester United the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for Crystal Palace.
- Where and when is Crystal Palace vs Manchester United played?
- Crystal Palace vs Manchester United is played on December 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Selhurst Park, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.