Crystal Palace vs Manchester United: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 15Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Selhurst Park, London
The Footlab model makes Manchester United the favourite at 37%, against 26% for a draw and 37% for Crystal Palace. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Crystal Palace vs Manchester United?
Manchester United starts as the favourite with a 119-point Elo edge (2,220 vs 2,101).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Crystal Palace have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Manchester United have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Everton(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | SC Freiburg(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Fulham(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Al Ula(home) | 3-1 | Como Cup |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Famalicao(away) | 0-0 | Como Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hull City(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | AC Milan(home) | 2-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Leeds(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Paris Saint Germain(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Atletico Madrid(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Crystal Palace win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Manchester United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2026 | Manchester United 2-1 Crystal Palace | Premier League |
| Nov 30, 2025 | Crystal Palace 1-2 Manchester United | Premier League |
| Feb 2, 2025 | Manchester United 0-2 Crystal Palace | Premier League |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Crystal Palace 0-0 Manchester United | Premier League |
| May 6, 2024 | Crystal Palace 4-0 Manchester United | Premier League |
| Sep 30, 2023 | Manchester United 0-1 Crystal Palace | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Manchester United vs Crystal Palace on Mar 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Crystal Palace score 1.2 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Manchester United score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Palace | 1.2 | 1.8 | 2 | 7/15 | 12/15 |
| Manchester United | 1.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Crystal Palace sit 17th in Premier League (0 points from 1 matches) and Manchester United sit 16th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Manchester United | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 | Crystal Palace | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Crystal Palace vs Manchester United?
- The Footlab model makes Manchester United the favourite at 37%, against 26% for a draw and 37% for Crystal Palace.
- Where and when is Crystal Palace vs Manchester United played?
- Crystal Palace vs Manchester United is played on December 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Selhurst Park, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.