Match

Sutton Coldfield Town W vs Derby County W: prediction and stats

FA Women's Cup1/128-finalsKick-off on October 25, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)

Sutton Coldfield Town WDerby County W

The Footlab AI model makes Sutton Coldfield Town W the favourite at 49%, against 20% for a draw and 31% for Derby County W. The most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,855 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Sutton Coldfield Town W vs Derby County W?

A very open match: only 34 Elo points separate Sutton Coldfield Town W (1,894) and Derby County W (1,928).

49%20%31%
Sutton Coldfield Town W winDrawDerby County W win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Sutton Coldfield Town W vs Derby County W

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Sutton Coldfield Town W

Not enough data to predict the Sutton Coldfield Town W lineup.

Derby County W

4-3-3
  1. 11E. Ashton
  2. 19I. Sheridan
  3. 7E. Wilson
  1. 23R. May
  2. 4C. Steggles
  3. 8E. Joyce
  1. 5S. Jackson
  2. 12C. Jenkins
  3. 10H. Ward
  4. 18M. Timms
  1. 1A. Draper

Computed on October 20, 2026 at 04:14 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 9 matches in all competitions, Sutton Coldfield Town W have 3 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Derby County W have 7, 1 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Sutton Coldfield Town W
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 26, 2025Stoke City W(away)0-7FA Women's Cup
Nov 3, 2024Loughborough Lightning W(away)1-2FA Women's Cup
Oct 13, 2024Alvechurch W(away)4-0FA Women's Cup
Nov 26, 2023Ipswich Town W(away)0-8FA Women's Cup
Nov 12, 2023Chesterfield W(home)8-0FA Women's Cup
Derby County W
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Dec 14, 2025Sunderland W(home)1-5FA Women's Cup
Nov 23, 2025Stockport County W(home)4-1FA Women's Cup
Oct 26, 2025Coventry Sphinx W(away)6-0FA Women's Cup
Nov 3, 2024Leafield Athletic W(home)1-3FA Women's Cup
Jan 14, 2024Leicester City FC W(home)0-4FA Women's Cup

How many goals should we expect?

Sutton Coldfield Town W score 2.9 and concede 2.4 goals per match over their last 9; Derby County W score 3.1 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 82% probability of over 2.5 goals and 79% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Sutton Coldfield Town W2.92.434/97/9
Derby County W3.11.9211/1413/14

Over the last 9 matches in all competitions.

A question about Sutton Coldfield Town W vs Derby County W?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Sutton Coldfield Town W vs Derby County W?
The Footlab AI model makes Sutton Coldfield Town W the favourite at 49%, against 20% for a draw and 31% for Derby County W.
Where and when is Sutton Coldfield Town W vs Derby County W played?
Sutton Coldfield Town W vs Derby County W is played on October 25, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC), in the FA Women's Cup.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 82% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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