Sutton Utd vs Boreham Wood: prediction and stats
National LeagueRegular Season - 13Kick-off on October 9, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)VBS Community Stadium, Sutton, Surrey
The Footlab AI model makes Boreham Wood the favourite at 56%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for Sutton Utd. The most likely score is 1-1. If Boreham Wood wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sutton Utd vs Boreham Wood?
Boreham Wood starts as the favourite with a 290-point Elo edge (2,101 vs 1,811).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sutton Utd vs Boreham Wood
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sutton Utd
4-3-3- 9T. Babalola
- 16B. Njoku
- 18D. Ogbonna
- 8J. Taylor
- 7E. Osadebe
- 19Joe Knight
- 5W. Nightingale
- 27B. Brookes
- 12D. Urpens
- 15J. Moore-Taylor
- 1S. Brits
Boreham Wood
4-3-3- 11T. Allarakhia
- 9D. Cashman
- 32M. Rush
- 4T. White
- 8Z. Brunt
- 6C. O'Connell
- 5C. Bush
- 2J. Clarke
- 3Oliver Bainbridge
- 17T. Golden
- 1Luca Gunter
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 01:42 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sutton Utd have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Boreham Wood have 12, 3 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Kidderminster Harriers(away) | 1-1 | National League |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Tamworth(away) | 0-2 | National League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Forest Green(home) | 3-3 | National League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | FC Halifax Town(away) | 1-1 | National League |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Eastleigh(home) | 2-1 | National League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Altrincham(home) | 3-1 | National League |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Kidderminster Harriers(home) | 3-1 | National League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Solihull Moors(away) | 3-0 | National League |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Everton U21(home) | 1-1 | National League Cup |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Harrogate Town(home) | 4-1 | National League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Sutton Utd wins, 1 draw, 2 Boreham Wood wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Boreham Wood 1-0 Sutton Utd | National League |
| Sep 3, 2025 | Sutton Utd 3-4 Boreham Wood | National League |
| Apr 2, 2021 | Boreham Wood 0-0 Sutton Utd | National League |
| Feb 13, 2021 | Sutton Utd 2-0 Boreham Wood | National League |
| Aug 17, 2019 | Boreham Wood 0-1 Sutton Utd | National League |
| Apr 6, 2019 | Boreham Wood 1-2 Sutton Utd | National League |
Last archived meeting: Boreham Wood vs Sutton Utd on Apr 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sutton Utd score 1.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Boreham Wood score 2.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sutton Utd | 1.2 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Boreham Wood | 2.7 | 1.1 | 2 | 13/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sutton Utd sit 11th in National League (18 points from 12 matches) and Boreham Wood sit 1st (32 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boreham Wood | 12 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 32 | 13 | 32 |
| 11 | Sutton Utd | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 16 | 18 |
A question about Sutton Utd vs Boreham Wood?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sutton Utd vs Boreham Wood?
- The Footlab AI model makes Boreham Wood the favourite at 56%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for Sutton Utd.
- Where and when is Sutton Utd vs Boreham Wood played?
- Sutton Utd vs Boreham Wood is played on October 9, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at VBS Community Stadium, in the National League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.