Sutton Utd vs Southampton U21: prediction and stats
National League CupGroup StageKick-off on November 3, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)VBS Community Stadium, Sutton, Surrey
The Footlab AI model makes Sutton Utd the favourite at 66%, against 18% for a draw and 16% for Southampton U21. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sutton Utd vs Southampton U21?
On Elo ratings, Sutton Utd has 1,802 points and Southampton U21 1,760.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sutton Utd vs Southampton U21
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sutton Utd
4-3-3- 9T. Babalola
- 16B. Njoku
- 18D. Ogbonna
- 8J. Taylor
- 7E. Osadebe
- 14O. Mussa
- 5W. Nightingale
- 27B. Brookes
- 15J. Moore-Taylor
- 12D. Urpens
- 1S. Brits
Southampton U21
4-3-3- 10S. Sillah Dibaga
- 9Princewill Ehibhatiomhan
- 18L. Bailey
- 6K. McMullan
- 11H. Gathercole
- 7R. Akachukwu
- 4L. Day
- 5J. Sanda
- 2Hansel Adjei Afriyie
- 3C. Anderson
- 1D. Moody
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 12:23 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sutton Utd have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Southampton U21 have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | West Bromwich Albion U21(home) | 3-2 | National League Cup |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Boreham Wood(home) | 0-2 | National League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Kidderminster Harriers(away) | 1-1 | National League |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Tamworth(away) | 0-2 | National League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Forest Green(home) | 3-3 | National League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Boston United(away) | 6-5 | National League Cup |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Queens Park Rangers U21(home) | 5-1 | Premier League Cup |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Wolves U21(away) | 2-0 | Premier League 2 Division One |
| Sep 12, 2026 | AFC Bournemouth U21(home) | 3-1 | Premier League 2 Division One |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Woking(away) | 1-4 | National League Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Sutton Utd wins, 0 draws, 0 Southampton U21 wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2026 | Sutton Utd 3-2 Southampton U21 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Nov 25, 2025 | Sutton Utd 4-1 Southampton U21 | National League Cup |
Last archived meeting: Sutton Utd vs Southampton U21 on Aug 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sutton Utd score 1.0 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Southampton U21 score 2.3 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 73% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sutton Utd | 1.0 | 1.4 | 3 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Southampton U21 | 2.3 | 1.6 | 3 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Sutton Utd vs Southampton U21?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sutton Utd vs Southampton U21?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sutton Utd the favourite at 66%, against 18% for a draw and 16% for Southampton U21.
- Where and when is Sutton Utd vs Southampton U21 played?
- Sutton Utd vs Southampton U21 is played on November 3, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at VBS Community Stadium, in the National League Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 11, 2026Hartlepool0-10Middlesbrough U21
- Aug 18, 2026FC Halifax Town6-2Derby County U21
- Aug 18, 2026Sutton Utd0-0Leicester City U21
- Aug 18, 2026Boreham Wood5-2Leeds United U21
- Aug 18, 2026Scunthorpe4-0Stoke City U21
- Aug 18, 2026Solihull Moors1-3Middlesbrough U21
- Aug 18, 2026Gateshead1-1Nottingham Forest U21
- Aug 18, 2026Truro City2-1Southampton U21