Match

Sutton Utd vs Southampton U21: prediction and stats

National League CupGroup StageKick-off on November 3, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)VBS Community Stadium, Sutton, Surrey

Sutton UtdSouthampton U21

The Footlab model makes Sutton Utd the favourite at 39%, against 23% for a draw and 38% for Southampton U21. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Sutton Utd vs Southampton U21?

A very open match: only 31 Elo points separate Sutton Utd (1,781) and Southampton U21 (1,812).

Sutton Utd win39 %
Draw23 %
Southampton U21 win38 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sutton Utd have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Southampton U21 have 5, 5 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Sutton Utd
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Hartlepool(home)2-1National League
Aug 18, 2026Leicester City U21(home)0-0National League Cup
Aug 15, 2026Altrincham(home)1-0National League
Aug 8, 2026Woking(away)3-0National League
Aug 1, 2026Southampton U21(home)3-2Friendlies Clubs
Southampton U21
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026West Ham United U21(away)0-0Premier League 2 Division One
Aug 18, 2026Truro City(away)1-2National League Cup
Aug 14, 2026Blackburn Rovers U21(home)4-0Premier League Cup
Aug 1, 2026Sutton Utd(away)2-3Friendlies Clubs
Jul 18, 2026Maidenhead(away)3-1Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Sutton Utd win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Southampton U21 win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 1, 2026Sutton Utd 3-2 Southampton U21Friendlies Clubs
Nov 25, 2025Sutton Utd 4-1 Southampton U21National League Cup

Last archived meeting: Sutton Utd vs Southampton U21 on Aug 1, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Sutton Utd score 1.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Southampton U21 score 1.6 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Sutton Utd1.31.257/159/15
Southampton U211.61.5211/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Sutton Utd vs Southampton U21?
The Footlab model makes Sutton Utd the favourite at 39%, against 23% for a draw and 38% for Southampton U21.
Where and when is Sutton Utd vs Southampton U21 played?
Sutton Utd vs Southampton U21 is played on November 3, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at VBS Community Stadium, in the National League Cup.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Sutton Utd and Southampton U21

Ready to know everything about football?