Match

SV Drochtersen/Assel vs VfB Lübeck: prediction and stats

Regionalliga - NordNorth - 28Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Kehdinger Stadion, Drochtersen

SV Drochtersen/AsselVfB Lübeck

The Footlab model makes SV Drochtersen/Assel the favourite at 63%, against 19% for a draw and 18% for VfB Lübeck. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win SV Drochtersen/Assel vs VfB Lübeck?

SV Drochtersen/Assel starts as the favourite with a 128-point Elo edge (2,030 vs 1,902).

SV Drochtersen/Assel win63 %
Draw19 %
VfB Lübeck win18 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SV Drochtersen/Assel have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; VfB Lübeck have 5, 5 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

SV Drochtersen/Assel
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 16, 2026Hamburger SV II(away)4-1Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 12, 2026Hannover 96 II(home)1-2Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 7, 2026VfB Oldenburg(away)1-3Regionalliga - Nord
Jul 31, 2026Phönix Lübeck(home)2-1Regionalliga - Nord
Jul 18, 2026Paderborn II(away)5-0Friendlies Clubs
VfB Lübeck
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 15, 2026Phönix Lübeck(away)0-4Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 11, 2026VfB Oldenburg(home)1-1Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 8, 2026Atlas Delmenhorst(away)0-2Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 4, 2026Phönix L. II(home)3-1Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein
Aug 1, 2026Heider SV(away)3-1Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 SV Drochtersen/Assel win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 VfB Lübeck win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 30, 2026VfB Lübeck 1-1 SV Drochtersen/AsselRegionalliga - Nord
Oct 17, 2025SV Drochtersen/Assel 7-2 VfB LübeckRegionalliga - Nord
Feb 21, 2025VfB Lübeck 0-1 SV Drochtersen/AsselRegionalliga - Nord
Aug 23, 2024SV Drochtersen/Assel 1-1 VfB LübeckRegionalliga - Nord
May 5, 2023SV Drochtersen/Assel 0-1 VfB LübeckRegionalliga - Nord
Oct 28, 2022VfB Lübeck 2-0 SV Drochtersen/AsselRegionalliga - Nord

Last archived meeting: VfB Lübeck vs SV Drochtersen/Assel on Apr 30, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

SV Drochtersen/Assel score 2.4 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; VfB Lübeck score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
SV Drochtersen/Assel2.41.5213/1514/15
VfB Lübeck1.31.329/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

SV Drochtersen/Assel sit 8th in Regionalliga - Nord (6 points from 4 matches) and VfB Lübeck sit 16th (2 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
8SV Drochtersen/Assel4202876
16VfB Lübeck4022282

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for SV Drochtersen/Assel vs VfB Lübeck?
The Footlab model makes SV Drochtersen/Assel the favourite at 63%, against 19% for a draw and 18% for VfB Lübeck.
Where and when is SV Drochtersen/Assel vs VfB Lübeck played?
SV Drochtersen/Assel vs VfB Lübeck is played on April 3, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Kehdinger Stadion, in the Regionalliga - Nord.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: SV Drochtersen/Assel and VfB Lübeck

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