SV Drochtersen/Assel vs VfB Lübeck: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - NordNorth - 28Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Kehdinger Stadion, Drochtersen
The Footlab model makes SV Drochtersen/Assel the favourite at 63%, against 19% for a draw and 18% for VfB Lübeck. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win SV Drochtersen/Assel vs VfB Lübeck?
SV Drochtersen/Assel starts as the favourite with a 128-point Elo edge (2,030 vs 1,902).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SV Drochtersen/Assel have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; VfB Lübeck have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Hamburger SV II(away) | 4-1 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Hannover 96 II(home) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 7, 2026 | VfB Oldenburg(away) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Phönix Lübeck(home) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Paderborn II(away) | 5-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Phönix Lübeck(away) | 0-4 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 11, 2026 | VfB Oldenburg(home) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Atlas Delmenhorst(away) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Phönix L. II(home) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Heider SV(away) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 SV Drochtersen/Assel win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 VfB Lübeck win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 30, 2026 | VfB Lübeck 1-1 SV Drochtersen/Assel | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Oct 17, 2025 | SV Drochtersen/Assel 7-2 VfB Lübeck | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Feb 21, 2025 | VfB Lübeck 0-1 SV Drochtersen/Assel | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 23, 2024 | SV Drochtersen/Assel 1-1 VfB Lübeck | Regionalliga - Nord |
| May 5, 2023 | SV Drochtersen/Assel 0-1 VfB Lübeck | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Oct 28, 2022 | VfB Lübeck 2-0 SV Drochtersen/Assel | Regionalliga - Nord |
Last archived meeting: VfB Lübeck vs SV Drochtersen/Assel on Apr 30, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
SV Drochtersen/Assel score 2.4 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; VfB Lübeck score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SV Drochtersen/Assel | 2.4 | 1.5 | 2 | 13/15 | 14/15 |
| VfB Lübeck | 1.3 | 1.3 | 2 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
SV Drochtersen/Assel sit 8th in Regionalliga - Nord (6 points from 4 matches) and VfB Lübeck sit 16th (2 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | SV Drochtersen/Assel | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 6 |
| 16 | VfB Lübeck | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for SV Drochtersen/Assel vs VfB Lübeck?
- The Footlab model makes SV Drochtersen/Assel the favourite at 63%, against 19% for a draw and 18% for VfB Lübeck.
- Where and when is SV Drochtersen/Assel vs VfB Lübeck played?
- SV Drochtersen/Assel vs VfB Lübeck is played on April 3, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Kehdinger Stadion, in the Regionalliga - Nord.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 3, 2027Werder Bremen IIvsEintracht Norderstedt
- Apr 3, 2027Bremer SVvsAtlas Delmenhorst
- Apr 3, 2027Hannover 96 IIvsVfB Oldenburg
- Apr 3, 2027St. Pauli IIvsSSV Jeddeloh
- Apr 3, 2027Kickers EmdenvsHSC Hannover
- Apr 3, 2027Phönix LübeckvsWeiche Flensburg
- Apr 3, 2027TodesfeldevsHamburger SV II
- Apr 3, 2027SchöningenvsEimsbütteler TV