Where and when is Phönix Lübeck vs Weiche Flensburg played?

Phönix Lübeck vs Weiche Flensburg is played on April 3, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Sportplatz an der Travemünder Allee, in the Regionalliga - Nord.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Phönix Lübeck vs Weiche Flensburg: prediction and stats

Regionalliga - NordNorth - 28Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Sportplatz an der Travemünder Allee, Lübeck

Phönix Lübeck

Weiche Flensburg

The Footlab model makes Phönix Lübeck the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Weiche Flensburg. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Phönix Lübeck vs Weiche Flensburg?

A very open match: only 5 Elo points separate Phönix Lübeck (1,954) and Weiche Flensburg (1,949).

Phönix Lübeck win44 %

Draw24 %

Weiche Flensburg win32 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Phönix Lübeck have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Weiche Flensburg have 9, 4 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Phönix Lübeck
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	SC Paderborn 07(home)	2-4	DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026	VfB Lübeck(home)	4-0	Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 12, 2026	Bremer SV(away)	0-0	Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 9, 2026	SSV Jeddeloh(home)	2-0	Regionalliga - Nord
Jul 31, 2026	SV Drochtersen/Assel(away)	1-2	Regionalliga - Nord

Weiche Flensburg
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Eintracht Norderstedt(away)	4-1	Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 19, 2026	Werder Bremen II(away)	2-1	Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 15, 2026	SSV Jeddeloh(home)	5-2	Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 8, 2026	Eimsbütteler TV(home)	5-2	Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 1, 2026	VfB Lübeck(away)	1-1	Regionalliga - Nord

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Phönix Lübeck win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Weiche Flensburg win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Nov 8, 2025	Phönix Lübeck 0-0 Weiche Flensburg	Regionalliga - Nord
Jul 26, 2025	Weiche Flensburg 2-5 Phönix Lübeck	Regionalliga - Nord
Mar 14, 2025	Weiche Flensburg 0-0 Phönix Lübeck	Regionalliga - Nord
Sep 13, 2024	Phönix Lübeck 2-1 Weiche Flensburg	Regionalliga - Nord
Apr 6, 2024	Phönix Lübeck 6-0 Weiche Flensburg	Regionalliga - Nord
Oct 6, 2023	Weiche Flensburg 0-5 Phönix Lübeck	Regionalliga - Nord

Last archived meeting: Phönix Lübeck vs Weiche Flensburg on Nov 8, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Phönix Lübeck score 1.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Weiche Flensburg score 2.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Phönix Lübeck	1.8	1.5	5	9/15	9/15
Weiche Flensburg	2.3	1.3	3	12/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Phönix Lübeck sit 5th in Regionalliga - Nord (7 points from 4 matches) and Weiche Flensburg sit 1st (13 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Weiche Flensburg	5	4	1	0	17	7	13
5	Phönix Lübeck	4	2	1	1	7	2	7

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Phönix Lübeck vs Weiche Flensburg?: The Footlab model makes Phönix Lübeck the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Weiche Flensburg.
Where and when is Phönix Lübeck vs Weiche Flensburg played?: Phönix Lübeck vs Weiche Flensburg is played on April 3, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Sportplatz an der Travemünder Allee, in the Regionalliga - Nord.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.